TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472197
Played Aug 23Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116115811111116
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeRoman Konkulovskyi to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Bohdan Chaikovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 1-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 81 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Roman Konkulovskyi at 60.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 67–36 Bohdan Chaikovskyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 36 of their 103 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Konkulovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-36 in 103
Konkulovskyi
Correct
gap of 31 in 103, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1694 vs Chaikovskyi 1740
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 40% vs Chaikovskyi 60%
Chaikovskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 50% vs Chaikovskyi 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi -3 · Chaikovskyi -2
Konkulovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Konkulovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaikovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 1.61 / Chaikovskyi 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Konkulovskyi)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472197
Konkulovskyi1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 100 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it80% 73 of 91
Chaikovskyi2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 165 of 378
Down 0–1, comes back25% 53 of 209
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi6wins
AwayChaikovskyi4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKonkulovskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayChaikovskyi50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi6Chaikovskyi4n = 10Konkulovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Konkulovskyi5Chaikovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Konkulovskyi4Chaikovskyi6n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Konkulovskyi4Chaikovskyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Konkulovskyi3Chaikovskyi2n = 5Konkulovskyi took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiChaikovskyiK − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.7−2.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiChaikovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime332 / 666 vs 359 / 70849.9%50.7%332 / 666 vs 359 / 708Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonkulovskyiKonkulovskyi 1.61/Chaikovskyi 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Konkulovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Konkulovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 07:05R. Konkulovskyi—711118113B. Chaikovskyi—11831142
LAug 12 · 16:35R. Konkulovskyi—6660B. Chaikovskyi—1111113
WAug 12 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi—141210123B. Chaikovskyi—121012101
WAug 8 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi—11116113B. Chaikovskyi—681161
WAug 6 · 05:35R. Konkulovskyi—16119113B. Chaikovskyi—1481191
LAug 5 · 14:35R. Konkulovskyi—5960B. Chaikovskyi—1111113
WAug 4 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi—1191111113B. Chaikovskyi—71161392
LAug 3 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi—11271152B. Chaikovskyi—611116113
WJul 30 · 10:35R. Konkulovskyi—211118113B. Chaikovskyi—11981182
LJul 29 · 14:35R. Konkulovskyi—11611152B. Chaikovskyi—711911113
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WAug 26 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.3812119143A. Romanenko1.5310911121LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113LAug 25 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.00111161282I. Sukovatyi1.73571114113LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.108560O. Pohonov1.671111113WAug 23 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko1.7311118442R. Konkulovskyi2.00741111113
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113WSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992LSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740LSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123LSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113
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