TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12472294
Played Aug 23Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117114811411411
Roman Konkulovskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeGregory Kuzmenko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Roman Konkulovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 82 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Gregory Kuzmenko at 54.7%
82 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 27–20 Roman Konkulovskyi Roman Konkulovskyi has won 20 of their 47 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kuzmenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-20 in 47
Kuzmenko
Wrong
gap of 7 in 47, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1721 vs Konkulovskyi 1706
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 40% vs Konkulovskyi 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 50% vs Konkulovskyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko -1 · Konkulovskyi -3
Konkulovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kuzmenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.73 / Konkulovskyi 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472294
Kuzmenko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 73 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it79% 52 of 66
Konkulovskyi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 131 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko4wins
AwayKonkulovskyi6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKonkulovskyi leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko60%3 of 5
AwayKonkulovskyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko5Konkulovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Kuzmenko6Konkulovskyi4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Kuzmenko6Konkulovskyi4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko3Konkulovskyi4n = 7Konkulovskyi took 4 of 7
S5Kuzmenko1Konkulovskyi4n = 5Konkulovskyi took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoKonkulovskyiKuzmenko − KonkulovskyiBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.037.7+2.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoKonkulovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 566 vs 332 / 66649.5%49.9%280 / 566 vs 332 / 666Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 1.73/Konkulovskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.7%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Konkulovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 1 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko—11511592R. Konkulovskyi—411511113
LApr 1 · 02:00G. Kuzmenko—612491R. Konkulovskyi—111011113
WMar 30 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko—1111113R. Konkulovskyi—8550
LMar 11 · 17:35G. Kuzmenko—91090R. Konkulovskyi—1112113
WMar 10 · 23:30G. Kuzmenko—12911113R. Konkulovskyi—1011761
LMar 5 · 06:35G. Kuzmenko—51111792R. Konkulovskyi—117511113
LMar 4 · 19:35G. Kuzmenko—911119102R. Konkulovskyi—118511123
WMar 3 · 23:30G. Kuzmenko—1112113R. Konkulovskyi—81080
LFeb 26 · 09:35G. Kuzmenko—119101182R. Konkulovskyi—811125113
WFeb 25 · 19:05G. Kuzmenko—711811113R. Konkulovskyi—11511772
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870WSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113WSep 2 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi1.53911101172G. Kuzmenko2.38116123113WSep 2 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko1.571111113O. Pohonov2.257670LSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WSep 2 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko1.8351111223V. Krokhmal1.831188201
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113WAug 26 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi2.3812119143A. Romanenko1.5310911121LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113LAug 25 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.00111161282I. Sukovatyi1.73571114113LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.108560O. Pohonov1.671111113WAug 23 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi1.61111181113B. Chaikovskyi2.2065111162
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