TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13008491
Played Aug 26Finished
Roman Konkulovskyi
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101199111412––
Andrii Romanenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:35 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeAndrii Romanenko to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRoman Konkulovskyi above · Andrii Romanenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 88 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Andrii Romanenko at 56.8%
88 points played in total.
H2H Roman Konkulovskyi 22–43 Andrii Romanenko Roman Konkulovskyi has won 22 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:35What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Romanenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-43 in 65
Romanenko
Wrong
gap of 21 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Konkulovskyi 1689 vs Romanenko 1615
Konkulovskyi
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konkulovskyi 40% vs Romanenko 60%
Romanenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konkulovskyi 50% vs Romanenko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konkulovskyi -2 · Romanenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Romanenko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonkulovskyi 2.38 / Romanenko 1.53
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Romanenko)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13008491
Konkulovskyi2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 132 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back23% 41 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 99
Romanenko1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 186 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it94% 94 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it81% 140 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKonkulovskyi4wins
AwayRomanenko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderRomanenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKonkulovskyi100%3 of 3
AwayRomanenko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Konkulovskyi3Romanenko7n = 10Romanenko took 7 of 10
S2Konkulovskyi5Romanenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Konkulovskyi6Romanenko4n = 10Konkulovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Konkulovskyi2Romanenko5n = 7Romanenko took 5 of 7
S5Konkulovskyi2Romanenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKonkulovskyiRomanenkoK − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.739.2−2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonkulovskyiRomanenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 670 vs 265 / 49349.9%53.8%334 / 670 vs 265 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RomanenkoKonkulovskyi 2.38/Romanenko 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.2%
Romanenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Konkulovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi—5114101A. Romanenko—11811123
WAug 19 · 24:30R. Konkulovskyi—613118113A. Romanenko—111151162
WAug 16 · 24:45R. Konkulovskyi—1111133A. Romanenko—34110
LAug 13 · 11:05R. Konkulovskyi—71111532A. Romanenko—117711113
LAug 12 · 14:35R. Konkulovskyi—10880A. Romanenko—1211113
WAug 11 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi—11116133A. Romanenko—7511111
LAug 9 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi—3990A. Romanenko—1111113
WAug 6 · 07:05R. Konkulovskyi—129147113A. Romanenko—1011121152
LAug 5 · 13:05R. Konkulovskyi—851291A. Romanenko—111110113
LAug 5 · 01:00R. Konkulovskyi—55111192A. Romanenko—111178113
R. Konkulovskyi10
LSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113LSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113LSep 5 · 20:45R. Konkulovskyi2.2051790O. Pohonov1.611119113LAug 26 · 24:00R. Konkulovskyi2.108290V. Krokhmal1.671111113LAug 25 · 22:30R. Konkulovskyi2.00111161282I. Sukovatyi1.73571114113LAug 25 · 20:30R. Konkulovskyi2.108560O. Pohonov1.671111113WAug 23 · 02:15G. Kuzmenko1.7311118442R. Konkulovskyi2.00741111113WAug 23 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi1.61111181113B. Chaikovskyi2.2065111162
A. Romanenko10
LSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171WSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102WSep 4 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2091181232A. Romanenko1.611151110113WSep 4 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.8071180A. Romanenko1.911113113WSep 4 · 05:05M. Loboda2.757680A. Romanenko1.401111113LSep 3 · 19:05O. Rodin2.1011116113A. Romanenko1.67661161LSep 3 · 17:35A. Romanenko1.5011671192Y. Vorsuliak2.50911118113WSep 3 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.38118611112A. Romanenko1.53911118133WSep 3 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.801581281A. Romanenko1.91131114113WSep 3 · 12:35M. Loboda2.636101161A. Romanenko1.4411123113
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