TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060659
Played Sep 2Finished
Gregory Kuzmenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111181182220––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGregory Kuzmenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGregory Kuzmenko above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 22-20
Point 96 set 4, 22-20 — our read held Gregory Kuzmenko at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Gregory Kuzmenko 15–18 Vitalii Krokhmal Gregory Kuzmenko has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:03What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krokhmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Krokhmal
Wrong
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmenko 1701 vs Krokhmal 1669
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmenko 20% vs Krokhmal 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmenko 60% vs Krokhmal 20%
Kuzmenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmenko -4 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmenko 1.83 / Krokhmal 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060659
Kuzmenko1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Krokhmal1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuzmenko6wins
AwayKrokhmal4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmenko100%4 of 4
AwayKrokhmal66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmenko4Krokhmal6n = 10Krokhmal took 6 of 10
S2Kuzmenko7Krokhmal3n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S3Kuzmenko6Krokhmal4n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Kuzmenko4Krokhmal1n = 5Kuzmenko took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuzmenkoKrokhmalKuzmenko − KrokhmalBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.233.8+3.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmenkoKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 566 vs 150 / 32348.8%46.4%276 / 566 vs 150 / 323Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.837.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoKuzmenko 1.83/Krokhmal 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 07:05G. Kuzmenko—1111113V. Krokhmal—9840
WAug 26 · 17:44G. Kuzmenko—171111113V. Krokhmal—196451
LAug 26 · 13:35G. Kuzmenko—1211791V. Krokhmal—14711113
LAug 22 · 21:45G. Kuzmenko—31090V. Krokhmal—1112113
LAug 21 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko—581111102V. Krokhmal—111176123
WAug 20 · 14:35G. Kuzmenko—91111113V. Krokhmal—118891
WJul 24 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko—111117113V. Krokhmal—781981
LJul 23 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko—8590V. Krokhmal—1111113
WJul 22 · 20:30G. Kuzmenko—1411113V. Krokhmal—12880
WJul 17 · 09:38G. Kuzmenko—1111113V. Krokhmal—6590
G. Kuzmenko10
WSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870WSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko1.4411212113O. Pohonov2.637111031WSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113WSep 2 · 16:35B. Chaikovskyi1.53911101172G. Kuzmenko2.38116123113WSep 2 · 15:35G. Kuzmenko1.571111113O. Pohonov2.257670LSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641LAug 30 · 24:45O. Pohonov2.7511811113G. Kuzmenko1.40811981
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101LSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091LSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740WSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380LSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520
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