TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078950
Played Sep 5Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116511119118––
Vitalii Krokhmal
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeVitalii Krokhmal to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Vitalii Krokhmal below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Vitalii Krokhmal at 59.2%
72 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 0–1 Vitalii Krokhmal Vitaliy Zharskiy has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krokhmal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zharskiy 1610 vs Krokhmal 1639
Krokhmal
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zharskiy 0% vs Krokhmal 20%
Krokhmal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zharskiy 20% vs Krokhmal 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zharskiy -5 · Krokhmal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krokhmal) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krokhmal form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 2.00 / Krokhmal 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krokhmal)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13078950
Zharskiy2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 55 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back19% 13 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Krokhmal1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite47% won 46 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZharskiy0wins
AwayKrokhmal1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKrokhmal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZharskiyKrokhmalZ − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.048.0−2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiyKrokhmalBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 560 vs 154 / 33549.1%46%275 / 560 vs 154 / 335Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrokhmalZharskiy 2.00/Krokhmal 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krokhmal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zharskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 15 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—89111172V. Krokhmal—111196113
V. Zharskiy10
WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113LJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy1.3611611262R. Konkulovskyi3.00811911113LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy2.384990A. Romanenko1.531111113LJul 16 · 06:05V. Zharskiy2.255840I. Sukovatyi1.571111113LJul 16 · 04:35V. Zharskiy1.673119101O. Pohonov2.1011711123WJul 15 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.201111113S. Maksymiv1.618970
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101LSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091LSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740WSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380LSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520LSep 2 · 19:05V. Krokhmal1.83871291O. Pohonov1.83111110113
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