TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12226550
Played Jul 15Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119117––––
Serhii Maksymiv
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Serhii Maksymiv below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 57 set 3, 11-7
57 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 31–47 Serhii Maksymiv Vitaliy Zharskiy has won 31 of their 78 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Maksymiv)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maksymiv form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 2.20 / Maksymiv 1.61
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Maksymiv)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12226550
Zharskiy2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 66 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 51
Maksymiv1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite58% won 168 of 292
Up 2–0, closes it93% 87 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it76% 123 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy4wins
AwayMaksymiv6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaksymiv leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiy66.7%2 of 3
AwayMaksymiv71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy3Maksymiv7n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S2Zharskiy3Maksymiv7n = 10Maksymiv took 7 of 10
S3Zharskiy2Maksymiv8n = 10Maksymiv took 8 of 10
S4Zharskiy4Maksymiv0n = 4Zharskiy took 4 of 4
S5Zharskiy2Maksymiv1n = 3Zharskiy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiyMaksymivZ − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.936.4−3.5per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiyMaksymivBasisWin rate · lifetime305 / 626 vs 427 / 71148.7%60.1%305 / 626 vs 427 / 711Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaksymivZharskiy 2.20/Maksymiv 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Maksymiv · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zharskiy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 14 · 23:00V. Zharskiy—8780S. Maksymiv—1111113
WJun 18 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—911911113S. Maksymiv—11711882
LJun 11 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—16891182S. Maksymiv—1411117113
WJun 10 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—1111113S. Maksymiv—5890
LJun 10 · 24:30V. Zharskiy—7160S. Maksymiv—1111113
WJun 4 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—1081111113S. Maksymiv—12115692
WJun 3 · 13:35V. Zharskiy—11117143S. Maksymiv—4811121
LJun 2 · 22:30V. Zharskiy—6560S. Maksymiv—1111113
LMay 28 · 10:35V. Zharskiy—7990S. Maksymiv—1111113
LMay 27 · 15:05V. Zharskiy—4790S. Maksymiv—1111113
V. Zharskiy10
WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121LSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113LJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy1.3611611262R. Konkulovskyi3.00811911113LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy2.384990A. Romanenko1.531111113LJul 16 · 06:05V. Zharskiy2.255840I. Sukovatyi1.571111113LJul 16 · 04:35V. Zharskiy1.673119101O. Pohonov2.1011711123
S. Maksymiv10
LSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992WSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091WSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 07:05S. Maksymiv1.361187101G. Kuzmenko3.0061111123WSep 3 · 05:05S. Maksymiv1.3611119113O. Pohonov3.00861191LSep 2 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20313311113S. Maksymiv1.61111111782LSep 2 · 17:05S. Maksymiv1.8391171172V. Krokhmal1.83116117113LSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123WSep 2 · 14:35S. Maksymiv1.3641111113G. Kuzmenko3.00113641WJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113
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