TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078868
Played Sep 6Finished
Vitaliy Zharskiy
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
114116711611411
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:18 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeVitaliy Zharskiy to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitaliy Zharskiy above · Bohdan Chaikovskyi below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 82 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Vitaliy Zharskiy at 57.6%
82 points played in total.
H2H Vitaliy Zharskiy 47–23 Bohdan Chaikovskyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 23 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:18What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Zharskiy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
47-23 in 70
Zharskiy
Wrong
gap of 24 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zharskiy 1623 vs Chaikovskyi 1772
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zharskiy 20% vs Chaikovskyi 80%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zharskiy 30% vs Chaikovskyi 60%
Chaikovskyi
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zharskiy +1 · Chaikovskyi +4
Chaikovskyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Zharskiy) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaikovskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZharskiy 1.53 / Chaikovskyi 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Zharskiy)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13078868
Zharskiy1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 73 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it83% 55 of 66
Chaikovskyi2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 161 of 362
Down 0–1, comes back27% 53 of 200
Down 0–2, comes back9% 10 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZharskiy7wins
AwayChaikovskyi3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZharskiy leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZharskiy100%4 of 4
AwayChaikovskyi50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zharskiy4Chaikovskyi6n = 10Chaikovskyi took 6 of 10
S2Zharskiy9Chaikovskyi1n = 10Zharskiy took 9 of 10
S3Zharskiy5Chaikovskyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Zharskiy3Chaikovskyi4n = 7Chaikovskyi took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZharskiyChaikovskyiZ − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.932.3+4.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZharskiyChaikovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 561 vs 377 / 73749.2%51.2%276 / 561 vs 377 / 737Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZharskiyZharskiy 1.53/Chaikovskyi 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Zharskiy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 11 · 09:35V. Zharskiy—811991B. Chaikovskyi—11411113
WJun 10 · 13:35V. Zharskiy—911114113B. Chaikovskyi—11461172
WJun 9 · 20:00V. Zharskiy—1112123B. Chaikovskyi—710100
LJun 4 · 05:05V. Zharskiy—55100B. Chaikovskyi—1111123
WJun 3 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—11115113B. Chaikovskyi—581121
WJun 2 · 23:30V. Zharskiy—11115113B. Chaikovskyi—341161
WMay 28 · 05:05V. Zharskiy—911114113B. Chaikovskyi—11451192
WMay 27 · 12:05V. Zharskiy—1111113B. Chaikovskyi—5640
WMay 26 · 21:00V. Zharskiy—91111123B. Chaikovskyi—1198101
LMay 21 · 07:05V. Zharskiy—912841B. Chaikovskyi—111011113
V. Zharskiy10
WSep 6 · 02:15V. Zharskiy1.4031111143R. Konkulovskyi2.751144121WSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 21:45V. Zharskiy1.6711241192O. Pohonov2.10611116113LSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113LJul 16 · 10:35V. Zharskiy2.256860S. Maksymiv1.571111113LJul 16 · 09:05V. Zharskiy1.3611611262R. Konkulovskyi3.00811911113LJul 16 · 07:35V. Zharskiy2.384990A. Romanenko1.531111113LJul 16 · 06:05V. Zharskiy2.255840I. Sukovatyi1.571111113LJul 16 · 04:35V. Zharskiy1.673119101O. Pohonov2.1011711123WJul 15 · 18:05V. Zharskiy2.201111113S. Maksymiv1.618970
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113WSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992LSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740LSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123LSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:05B. Chaikovskyi2.20313311113S. Maksymiv1.61111111782
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