TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061162
Played Sep 2Finished
Vitalii Krokhmal
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210118411118––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:53 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVitalii Krokhmal above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 75 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 64.1%
75 points played in total.
H2H Vitalii Krokhmal 5–16 Ihor Sukovatyi Vitalii Krokhmal has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:53What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sukovatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Sukovatyi
Wrong
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krokhmal 1658 vs Sukovatyi 1687
Sukovatyi
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krokhmal 20% vs Sukovatyi 40%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krokhmal 20% vs Sukovatyi 50%
Sukovatyi
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krokhmal -3 · Sukovatyi -1
Krokhmal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sukovatyi) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sukovatyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrokhmal 2.63 / Sukovatyi 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13061162
Krokhmal2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 104 of 226
Down 0–1, comes back26% 29 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Sukovatyi1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 177 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it79% 135 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrokhmal4wins
AwaySukovatyi6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSukovatyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrokhmal100%4 of 4
AwaySukovatyi100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krokhmal4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S2Krokhmal3Sukovatyi7n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S3Krokhmal2Sukovatyi8n = 10Sukovatyi took 8 of 10
S4Krokhmal3Sukovatyi2n = 5Krokhmal took 3 of 5
S5Krokhmal2Sukovatyi1n = 3Krokhmal took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrokhmalSukovatyiK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.537.4−3.9per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrokhmalSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 324 vs 261 / 47546.3%55%150 / 324 vs 261 / 475Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiKrokhmal 2.63/Sukovatyi 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krokhmal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 21:00V. Krokhmal—84100I. Sukovatyi—1111123
WAug 27 · 09:35V. Krokhmal—1111126113I. Sukovatyi—49141162
LAug 26 · 15:05V. Krokhmal—8777I. Sukovatyi—11111111
LAug 26 · 15:04V. Krokhmal—91050I. Sukovatyi—1112113
WAug 26 · 02:30V. Krokhmal—11711113I. Sukovatyi—611481
LAug 23 · 01:45V. Krokhmal—61161182I. Sukovatyi—119119113
WAug 19 · 01:30V. Krokhmal—111248113I. Sukovatyi—710111192
WAug 15 · 22:45V. Krokhmal—11811113I. Sukovatyi—411971
LAug 13 · 11:35V. Krokhmal—12590I. Sukovatyi—1411113
LAug 12 · 17:35V. Krokhmal—10650I. Sukovatyi—1211113
V. Krokhmal10
LSep 6 · 03:15V. Krokhmal2.00211581O. Pohonov1.7311911113LSep 6 · 01:15R. Konkulovskyi2.251211113V. Krokhmal1.5710890LSep 5 · 23:15V. Zharskiy2.0011511113V. Krokhmal1.73611981LSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113LSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 11:35V. Krokhmal1.9111115123O. Pohonov1.804511101LSep 3 · 09:35S. Maksymiv1.7311812113V. Krokhmal2.005111091LSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740WSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380LSep 3 · 05:35G. Kuzmenko1.831111113V. Krokhmal1.835520
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113LSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov1.44761111113I. Sukovatyi2.6311115662WSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123LSep 2 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi2.0011149113I. Sukovatyi1.739121191WSep 2 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi1.571111113V. Slozka2.252940
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.