TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055429
Played Sep 2Finished
Ihor Sukovatyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112119114––––
Viktor Slozka
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:55 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIhor Sukovatyi above · Viktor Slozka below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 48 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 60.1%
48 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Sukovatyi 15–7 Viktor Slozka Viktor Slozka has won 7 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:55What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sukovatyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-7 in 22
Sukovatyi
Correct
gap of 8 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sukovatyi 1693 vs Slozka 1699
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sukovatyi 60% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sukovatyi 50% vs Slozka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sukovatyi -2 · Slozka +3
Slozka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSukovatyi 1.57 / Slozka 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13055429
Sukovatyi1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 178 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it80% 136 of 171
Slozka2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 131 of 272
Down 0–1, comes back26% 36 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSukovatyi5wins
AwaySlozka5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSukovatyi66.7%4 of 6
AwaySlozka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sukovatyi6Slozka4n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S2Sukovatyi7Slozka3n = 10Sukovatyi took 7 of 10
S3Sukovatyi5Slozka5n = 10split evenly
S4Sukovatyi2Slozka4n = 6Slozka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSukovatyiSlozkaSukovatyi − SlozkaBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.934.4+1.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSukovatyiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 473 vs 378 / 84255%44.9%260 / 473 vs 378 / 842Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiSukovatyi 1.57/Slozka 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sukovatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 23:45I. Sukovatyi—11911872V. Slozka—411911113
LJul 27 · 02:45I. Sukovatyi—1191081V. Slozka—61112113
WJul 13 · 02:45I. Sukovatyi—1111113V. Slozka—9660
LJul 2 · 18:35I. Sukovatyi—7880V. Slozka—1111113
LJul 2 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi—512991V. Slozka—111011113
WJun 25 · 11:35I. Sukovatyi—11115113V. Slozka—731181
LJun 24 · 19:05I. Sukovatyi—7111081V. Slozka—11612113
WJun 23 · 21:00I. Sukovatyi—1612123V. Slozka—1410100
WJun 15 · 02:45I. Sukovatyi—1111123V. Slozka—79100
WJun 14 · 03:15I. Sukovatyi—31111113V. Slozka—114891
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113LSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov1.44761111113I. Sukovatyi2.6311115662WSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123LSep 2 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.6312114113I. Sukovatyi1.441081181LSep 2 · 12:05B. Chaikovskyi2.0011149113I. Sukovatyi1.739121191
V. Slozka10
LSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 01:45O. Pohonov1.731510571V. Slozka2.00131211113WSep 6 · 24:15R. Konkulovskyi1.83991291V. Slozka1.83111110113WSep 5 · 22:15V. Krokhmal1.7311115742V. Slozka2.00781111113WSep 5 · 20:15V. Zharskiy1.73414451V. Slozka2.00111211113WSep 4 · 11:05D. Shchegelskyi2.63121411102V. Slozka1.441011117123LSep 4 · 10:05A. Romanenko1.57811119123V. Slozka2.25117911102LSep 4 · 08:35M. Loboda1.731111113V. Slozka2.005880WSep 4 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak2.63131312392V. Slozka1.4415111011113WSep 4 · 04:35I. Hrekh1.67811581V. Slozka2.1011711113
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