TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13061244
Played Sep 2Finished
Bohdan Chaikovskyi
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191412911119––
Ihor Sukovatyi
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:14 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeIhor Sukovatyi to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingBohdan Chaikovskyi above · Ihor Sukovatyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 86 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ihor Sukovatyi at 54.1%
86 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Chaikovskyi 29–41 Ihor Sukovatyi Bohdan Chaikovskyi has won 29 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:14What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sukovatyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-41 in 70
Sukovatyi
Wrong
gap of 12 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chaikovskyi 1731 vs Sukovatyi 1707
Chaikovskyi
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaikovskyi 60% vs Sukovatyi 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaikovskyi 50% vs Sukovatyi 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaikovskyi -1 · Sukovatyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sukovatyi)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaikovskyi 2.00 / Sukovatyi 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sukovatyi)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13061244
Chaikovskyi2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 159 of 361
Down 0–1, comes back26% 51 of 198
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 108
Sukovatyi1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 177 of 300
Up 2–0, closes it96% 96 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it79% 135 of 170
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaikovskyi6wins
AwaySukovatyi4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderChaikovskyi leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaikovskyi100%5 of 5
AwaySukovatyi80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaikovskyi5Sukovatyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Chaikovskyi4Sukovatyi6n = 10Sukovatyi took 6 of 10
S3Chaikovskyi5Sukovatyi5n = 10split evenly
S4Chaikovskyi3Sukovatyi1n = 4Chaikovskyi took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaikovskyiSukovatyiC − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match31.229.8+1.4per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaikovskyiSukovatyiBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 724 vs 261 / 47450.8%55.1%368 / 724 vs 261 / 474Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SukovatyiChaikovskyi 2.00/Sukovatyi 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Sukovatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chaikovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 24:30B. Chaikovskyi—111168113I. Sukovatyi—99111152
LAug 30 · 24:15B. Chaikovskyi—4440I. Sukovatyi—1111113
WAug 27 · 06:35B. Chaikovskyi—11511123I. Sukovatyi—4113101
LAug 22 · 22:15B. Chaikovskyi—7960I. Sukovatyi—1111113
WAug 20 · 08:35B. Chaikovskyi—1111113I. Sukovatyi—4460
WAug 19 · 15:35B. Chaikovskyi—11811113I. Sukovatyi—511481
LAug 18 · 22:00B. Chaikovskyi—51170I. Sukovatyi—1113113
LAug 16 · 24:15B. Chaikovskyi—7860I. Sukovatyi—1111113
WAug 13 · 09:35B. Chaikovskyi—61113113I. Sukovatyi—1151181
WAug 12 · 13:35B. Chaikovskyi—1111113I. Sukovatyi—5450
B. Chaikovskyi10
WSep 6 · 02:45B. Chaikovskyi1.831191110123V. Slozka1.83811712102WSep 6 · 24:45V. Zharskiy1.5311117642B. Chaikovskyi2.38461111113WSep 5 · 23:45B. Chaikovskyi1.53551311113O. Pohonov2.38111111492WSep 5 · 22:45R. Konkulovskyi1.61751141B. Chaikovskyi2.2011116113WSep 5 · 21:15B. Chaikovskyi1.4411811133V. Krokhmal2.638118111WSep 3 · 10:35B. Chaikovskyi2.20881111113S. Maksymiv1.6111113992LSep 3 · 09:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5711661182G. Kuzmenko2.25911116113WSep 3 · 07:35B. Chaikovskyi1.501111113V. Krokhmal2.504740LSep 3 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.53411511102O. Pohonov2.38118115123LSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113
I. Sukovatyi10
LSep 3 · 11:05G. Kuzmenko2.251111113I. Sukovatyi1.579870LSep 3 · 10:05O. Pohonov1.441111113I. Sukovatyi2.634530LSep 3 · 08:35S. Maksymiv1.67111011113I. Sukovatyi2.10412671LSep 3 · 06:35V. Krokhmal2.381111113I. Sukovatyi1.533380WSep 3 · 04:35B. Chaikovskyi2.0011640I. Sukovatyi1.731311113WSep 2 · 18:35G. Kuzmenko2.50931151I. Sukovatyi1.5011113113LSep 2 · 17:35O. Pohonov1.44761111113I. Sukovatyi2.6311115662WSep 2 · 16:05S. Maksymiv1.73613911102I. Sukovatyi2.001111115123LSep 2 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.6312114113I. Sukovatyi1.441081181WSep 2 · 02:30I. Sukovatyi1.571111113V. Slozka2.252940
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