TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106257
Played Sep 10Finished
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181513511118––
Dmytro Palii
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Palii to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Dmytro Palii below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 82 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Dmytro Palii at 64.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 0–2 Dmytro Palii Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Palii
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1420 vs Palii 1480
Palii
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 20% vs Palii 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 30% vs Palii 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -1 · Palii -3
Palii
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Palii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palii form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.63 / Palii 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Palii)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13106257
Sydorchuk2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 34 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Palii1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite38% won 6 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSydorchuk0wins
AwayPalii2wins
Palii leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSydorchukPaliiS − PBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match27.037.5−10.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 296 vs 99 / 17152.7%57.9%156 / 296 vs 99 / 171Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaliiSydorchuk 2.63/Palii 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Palii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LFeb 8 · 05:55O. Sydorchuk—8790D. Palii—1111113
LFeb 7 · 13:55O. Sydorchuk—119551D. Palii—91111113
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 14:25O. Hudyma1.831061111102O. Sydorchuk1.83121132123LSep 5 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk1.80131111642I. Kvak1.91157911103
D. Palii10
LSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131LJul 4 · 10:25S. Prus2.101111113D. Palii1.675830LJul 4 · 09:25D. Palii2.25911451I. Pytsko1.5711911113LJul 4 · 08:25D. Palii2.0011215882O. Storozhenko1.736111311113WJul 4 · 06:55D. Palii2.1011911113O. Alieksieev1.67811991LJul 4 · 04:55D. Palii2.006780I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113LJul 3 · 18:55D. Palii2.00111851O. Storozhenko1.7311711113WJul 3 · 16:55I. Fashchevskyi1.7312851172D. Palii2.001011117113WJul 3 · 14:55S. Prus2.006111051D. Palii1.7311112113WJul 3 · 13:55D. Palii1.801110119113M. Potapov1.9181271152
Upcoming Matches
O. Sydorchuk
D. Palii
Sep 10 · 23:45D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—Sep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.50T. Gil1.50—Sep 11 · 03:15D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 14:25D. Palii—V. Kuzmych——Sep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 11 · 16:55D. Palii1.83M. Slozka1.83—Sep 11 · 17:55D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—
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