TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12155292
Played Jul 4Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118113––––
Dmytro Palii
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Dmytro Palii below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 49 set 3, 11-3
49 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 7–8 Dmytro Palii Serhii Prus has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palii form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.10 / Palii 1.67
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prus)+9.8pp
Setka Cup · #12155292
Prus2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 35 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back23% 13 of 57
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 37
Palii1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 18 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus3wins
AwayPalii7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPalii leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus66.7%2 of 3
AwayPalii85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus3Palii7n = 10Palii took 7 of 10
S2Prus5Palii4n = 9Prus took 5 of 9
S3Prus5Palii4n = 9Prus took 5 of 9
S4Prus0Palii6n = 7Palii took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusPaliiPrus − PaliiBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.034.0−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 540 vs 99 / 17052.2%58.2%282 / 540 vs 99 / 170Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrusPrus 2.10/Palii 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 3 · 14:55S. Prus—6111051D. Palii—11112113
LJun 30 · 04:25S. Prus—1111891D. Palii—51311113
WJun 29 · 11:55S. Prus—1111113D. Palii—7570
WJun 18 · 08:25S. Prus—911144113D. Palii—117121152
LJun 17 · 14:55S. Prus—10D. Palii—21
LFeb 21 · 14:25S. Prus—1171171D. Palii—1311593
LFeb 15 · 11:25S. Prus—1071161D. Palii—12115113
LFeb 8 · 09:25S. Prus—10960D. Palii—1211113
WFeb 7 · 15:55S. Prus—1211662D. Palii—1051161
LDec 28 · 05:25S. Prus—511126122D. Palii—1191011143
S. Prus10
WSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus2.10115138113I. Fashchevskyi1.67811111182WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113
D. Palii10
LSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131LSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LJul 4 · 09:25D. Palii2.25911451I. Pytsko1.5711911113LJul 4 · 08:25D. Palii2.0011215882O. Storozhenko1.736111311113WJul 4 · 06:55D. Palii2.1011911113O. Alieksieev1.67811991LJul 4 · 04:55D. Palii2.006780I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113LJul 3 · 18:55D. Palii2.00111851O. Storozhenko1.7311711113WJul 3 · 16:55I. Fashchevskyi1.7312851172D. Palii2.001011117113WJul 3 · 14:55S. Prus2.006111051D. Palii1.7311112113WJul 3 · 13:55D. Palii1.801110119113M. Potapov1.9181271152
Upcoming Matches
S. Prus
Sep 10 · 22:45S. Prus1.73O. Sydorchuk2.00—Sep 10 · 23:45S. Prus1.83D. Palii1.83—Sep 11 · 24:45S. Prus2.38M. Slozka1.53—Sep 11 · 02:45S. Prus3.00T. Gil1.36—Sep 11 · 11:55S. Prus3.40D. Maltsev1.30—Sep 11 · 13:25S. Prus2.10I. Fashchevskyi1.67—Sep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.38M. Slozka1.53—Sep 11 · 16:25S. Prus1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 17:55S. Prus1.83D. Palii1.83—
D. Palii
Sep 10 · 23:45D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—Sep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.50T. Gil1.50—Sep 11 · 03:15D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 11 · 16:55D. Palii1.83M. Slozka1.83—Sep 11 · 17:55D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—
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