Ivan Fashchevskyi vs Dmytro Palii 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12146512

Played Jul 3Finished

Ivan Fashchevskyi

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

1210811511117711

Dmytro Palii

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Dmytro Palii below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 5-11

Set 4 · 11-7

Set 5 · 7-11

Point 93 set 5, 7-11

93 points played in total.

H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 13–8 Dmytro Palii Dmytro Palii has won 8 of their 21 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fashchevskyi)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Fashchevskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsFashchevskyi 1.73 / Palii 2.00

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Fashchevskyi)+2.0pp

Setka Cup · #12146512

Fashchevskyi1.73

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite57% won 94 of 165

Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36

Up 1–0, closes it77% 61 of 79

Palii2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog50% won 18 of 36

Down 0–1, comes back43% 9 of 21

Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeFashchevskyi7wins

AwayPalii3wins

7 of 10 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeFashchevskyin = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayPalii37.5%3 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Fashchevskyi2Palii8n = 10Palii took 8 of 10

S2Fashchevskyi8Palii2n = 10Fashchevskyi took 8 of 10

S3Fashchevskyi9Palii1n = 10Fashchevskyi took 9 of 10

S4Fashchevskyi4Palii5n = 9Palii took 5 of 9

S5Fashchevskyi4Palii3n = 7Fashchevskyi took 4 of 7

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricFashchevskyiPaliiF − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match45.440.1+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricFashchevskyiPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 401 vs 97 / 16453.4%59.2%214 / 401 vs 97 / 164Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.336.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Fashchevskyi

Fashchevskyi 1.73/Palii 2.00

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.7%

Fashchevskyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Palii won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJul 2 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi—911118113D. Palii—11581172

WJun 30 · 10:55I. Fashchevskyi—8111111113D. Palii—11761332

WJun 29 · 18:25I. Fashchevskyi—1111113D. Palii—7860

LJun 18 · 09:25I. Fashchevskyi—91115792D. Palii—1191311113

WJun 17 · 12:55I. Fashchevskyi—111111113D. Palii—136571

LJun 13 · 08:55I. Fashchevskyi—81111592D. Palii—1111613113

WJun 12 · 14:55I. Fashchevskyi—117118113D. Palii—61181182

WJun 11 · 21:45I. Fashchevskyi—611711113D. Palii—11411852

LFeb 15 · 10:25I. Fashchevskyi—61111892D. Palii—119611113

WFeb 14 · 13:55I. Fashchevskyi—81111113D. Palii—116661

I. Fashchevskyi10

LSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus2.10115138113I. Fashchevskyi1.67811111182 LSep 9 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.671111123I. Fashchevskyi2.1064100 LSep 9 · 10:05O. Storozhenko1.6712611113I. Fashchevskyi2.101011481 WSep 9 · 08:35M. Potapov1.8381161172I. Fashchevskyi1.83115117113 LSep 9 · 06:35I. Pytsko1.731211125133I. Fashchevskyi2.001471011112 LSep 9 · 04:35D. Maltsev1.80671114113I. Fashchevskyi1.91111151212 WSep 8 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi2.001111113M. Potapov1.735890 LSep 8 · 01:15V. Korobko1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007850 WSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67411971I. Fashchevskyi2.1011811113 LSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91611116102I. Pytsko1.80119611123

D. Palii10

LSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131 LSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181 LJul 4 · 10:25S. Prus2.101111113D. Palii1.675830 LJul 4 · 09:25D. Palii2.25911451I. Pytsko1.5711911113 LJul 4 · 08:25D. Palii2.0011215882O. Storozhenko1.736111311113 WJul 4 · 06:55D. Palii2.1011911113O. Alieksieev1.67811991 LJul 4 · 04:55D. Palii2.006780I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113 LJul 3 · 18:55D. Palii2.00111851O. Storozhenko1.7311711113 WJul 3 · 14:55S. Prus2.006111051D. Palii1.7311112113 WJul 3 · 13:55D. Palii1.801110119113M. Potapov1.9181271152

Upcoming Matches

I. Fashchevskyi

Sep 10 · 23:15I. Fashchevskyi2.00M. Slozka1.73—Sep 11 · 01:15I. Fashchevskyi1.67O. Sydorchuk2.10—Sep 11 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73D. Palii2.00—Sep 11 · 12:25I. Fashchevskyi1.73D. Palii2.00—Sep 11 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi1.67S. Prus2.10—Sep 11 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91D. Maltsev1.80—Sep 11 · 18:55I. Fashchevskyi2.00M. Slozka1.73—

D. Palii

Sep 10 · 23:45D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—Sep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.50T. Gil1.50—Sep 11 · 03:15D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 11 · 16:55D. Palii1.83M. Slozka1.83—Sep 11 · 17:55D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.