Dmytro Palii vs Ivan Fashchevskyi 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12153990

Played Jul 4Finished

Dmytro Palii

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

611711811––––

Ivan Fashchevskyi

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Point 54 set 3, 8-11

54 points played in total.

H2H Dmytro Palii 9–13 Ivan Fashchevskyi Dmytro Palii has won 9 of their 22 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fashchevskyi)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Fashchevskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPalii 2.00 / Fashchevskyi 1.73

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Fashchevskyi)+2.0pp

Setka Cup · #12153990

Palii2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog50% won 19 of 38

Down 0–1, comes back44% 10 of 23

Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8

Fashchevskyi1.73

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite56% won 94 of 168

Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37

Up 1–0, closes it75% 61 of 81

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePalii4wins

AwayFashchevskyi6wins

8 of 10 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 6–4, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePalii42.9%3 of 7

AwayFashchevskyi66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Palii7Fashchevskyi3n = 10Palii took 7 of 10

S2Palii3Fashchevskyi7n = 10Fashchevskyi took 7 of 10

S3Palii2Fashchevskyi8n = 10Fashchevskyi took 8 of 10

S4Palii5Fashchevskyi4n = 9Palii took 5 of 9

S5Palii4Fashchevskyi4n = 8split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home440%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricPaliiFashchevskyiP − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.245.6−3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPaliiFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 166 vs 214 / 40459%53%98 / 166 vs 214 / 404Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Fashchevskyi

Palii 2.00/Fashchevskyi 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

55.7%

Fashchevskyi · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Fashchevskyi won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJul 3 · 16:55D. Palii—1011117113I. Fashchevskyi—12851172

LJul 2 · 23:45D. Palii—11581172I. Fashchevskyi—911118113

LJun 30 · 10:55D. Palii—11761332I. Fashchevskyi—8111111113

LJun 29 · 18:25D. Palii—7860I. Fashchevskyi—1111113

WJun 18 · 09:25D. Palii—1191311113I. Fashchevskyi—91115792

LJun 17 · 12:55D. Palii—136571I. Fashchevskyi—111111113

WJun 13 · 08:55D. Palii—1111613113I. Fashchevskyi—81111592

LJun 12 · 14:55D. Palii—61181182I. Fashchevskyi—117118113

LJun 11 · 21:45D. Palii—11411852I. Fashchevskyi—611711113

WFeb 15 · 10:25D. Palii—119611113I. Fashchevskyi—61111892

D. Palii10

LSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131 LSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181 LJul 4 · 10:25S. Prus2.101111113D. Palii1.675830 LJul 4 · 09:25D. Palii2.25911451I. Pytsko1.5711911113 LJul 4 · 08:25D. Palii2.0011215882O. Storozhenko1.736111311113 WJul 4 · 06:55D. Palii2.1011911113O. Alieksieev1.67811991 LJul 3 · 18:55D. Palii2.00111851O. Storozhenko1.7311711113 WJul 3 · 16:55I. Fashchevskyi1.7312851172D. Palii2.001011117113 WJul 3 · 14:55S. Prus2.006111051D. Palii1.7311112113 WJul 3 · 13:55D. Palii1.801110119113M. Potapov1.9181271152

I. Fashchevskyi10

LSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus2.10115138113I. Fashchevskyi1.67811111182 LSep 9 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.671111123I. Fashchevskyi2.1064100 LSep 9 · 10:05O. Storozhenko1.6712611113I. Fashchevskyi2.101011481 WSep 9 · 08:35M. Potapov1.8381161172I. Fashchevskyi1.83115117113 LSep 9 · 06:35I. Pytsko1.731211125133I. Fashchevskyi2.001471011112 LSep 9 · 04:35D. Maltsev1.80671114113I. Fashchevskyi1.91111151212 WSep 8 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi2.001111113M. Potapov1.735890 LSep 8 · 01:15V. Korobko1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007850 WSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67411971I. Fashchevskyi2.1011811113 LJul 3 · 16:55I. Fashchevskyi1.7312851172D. Palii2.001011117113

Upcoming Matches

D. Palii

Sep 10 · 23:45D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—Sep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.50T. Gil1.50—Sep 11 · 03:15D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 11 · 16:55D. Palii1.83M. Slozka1.83—Sep 11 · 17:55D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—

I. Fashchevskyi

Sep 10 · 23:15I. Fashchevskyi2.00M. Slozka1.73—Sep 11 · 01:15I. Fashchevskyi1.67O. Sydorchuk2.10—Sep 11 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73D. Palii2.00—Sep 11 · 12:25I. Fashchevskyi1.73D. Palii2.00—Sep 11 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi1.67S. Prus2.10—Sep 11 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91D. Maltsev1.80—Sep 11 · 18:55I. Fashchevskyi2.00M. Slozka1.73—

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