TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105766
Played Sep 10Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118911113––
Dmytro Palii
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Dmytro Palii below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 70 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 4–3 Dmytro Palii Dmytro Palii has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:37What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Palii
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1590 vs Palii 1467
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Palii 20%
Slozka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 80% vs Palii 40%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +1 · Palii -4
Palii
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palii form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.83 / Palii 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Slozka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105766
Slozka1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Palii1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSlozka4wins
AwayPalii3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSlozka leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka66.7%2 of 3
AwayPalii50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka3Palii4n = 7Palii took 4 of 7
S2Slozka3Palii4n = 7Palii took 4 of 7
S3Slozka4Palii3n = 7Slozka took 4 of 7
S4Slozka2Palii3n = 5Palii took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSlozkaPaliiS − PBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match36.937.0−0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 759 vs 99 / 17244.4%57.6%337 / 759 vs 99 / 172Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.83/Palii 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJun 13 · 07:25M. Slozka—1111113D. Palii—9590
LJun 12 · 13:55M. Slozka—114451D. Palii—81111113
WJun 11 · 23:45M. Slozka—911118113D. Palii—11831172
LFeb 21 · 19:55M. Slozka—481171D. Palii—11110113
WFeb 15 · 07:55M. Slozka—111313113D. Palii—8151191
WFeb 14 · 19:55M. Slozka—611811113D. Palii—115119102
LFeb 7 · 19:55M. Slozka—9980D. Palii—1111113
M. Slozka10
WSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360WSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122WSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113
D. Palii10
LSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LJul 4 · 10:25S. Prus2.101111113D. Palii1.675830LJul 4 · 09:25D. Palii2.25911451I. Pytsko1.5711911113LJul 4 · 08:25D. Palii2.0011215882O. Storozhenko1.736111311113WJul 4 · 06:55D. Palii2.1011911113O. Alieksieev1.67811991LJul 4 · 04:55D. Palii2.006780I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113LJul 3 · 18:55D. Palii2.00111851O. Storozhenko1.7311711113WJul 3 · 16:55I. Fashchevskyi1.7312851172D. Palii2.001011117113WJul 3 · 14:55S. Prus2.006111051D. Palii1.7311112113WJul 3 · 13:55D. Palii1.801110119113M. Potapov1.9181271152
Upcoming Matches
M. Slozka
Sep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka1.73I. Fashchevskyi2.00—Sep 11 · 24:45M. Slozka1.53S. Prus2.38—Sep 11 · 02:15M. Slozka1.53O. Sydorchuk2.38—Sep 11 · 12:55M. Slozka1.73V. Kuzmych2.00—Sep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.63D. Maltsev1.44—Sep 11 · 14:55M. Slozka1.53S. Prus2.38—Sep 11 · 16:55M. Slozka1.83D. Palii1.83—Sep 11 · 18:55M. Slozka1.73I. Fashchevskyi2.00—
D. Palii
Sep 10 · 23:45D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—Sep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.50T. Gil1.50—Sep 11 · 03:15D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 11 · 16:55D. Palii1.83M. Slozka1.83—Sep 11 · 17:55D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—
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