TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12153918
Played Jul 4Finished
Dmytro Palii
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911119119––
Oleksandr Alieksieev
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Oleksandr Alieksieev below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9
79 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Palii 2–1 Oleksandr Alieksieev Oleksandr Alieksieev has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Alieksieev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Palii form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalii 2.10 / Alieksieev 1.67
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Alieksieev)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12153918
Palii2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 20 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back40% 10 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Alieksieev1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 23 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 15 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it95% 18 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePalii2wins
AwayAlieksieev1wins
Palii leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palii2Alieksieev1n = 3Palii took 2 of 3
S2Palii1Alieksieev2n = 3Alieksieev took 2 of 3
S3Palii2Alieksieev1n = 3Palii took 2 of 3
S4Palii2Alieksieev1n = 3Palii took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPaliiAlieksieevP − ABasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.036.3−1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaliiAlieksieevBasisWin rate · lifetime99 / 171 vs 79 / 14957.9%53%99 / 171 vs 79 / 149Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlieksieevPalii 2.10/Alieksieev 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.8%
Alieksieev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Palii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 4 · 06:55D. Palii—11911113O. Alieksieev—811991
LJul 3 · 12:54D. Palii—741131O. Alieksieev—11114113
WJul 2 · 21:45D. Palii—11115113O. Alieksieev—691191
D. Palii10
LSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131LSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LJul 4 · 10:25S. Prus2.101111113D. Palii1.675830LJul 4 · 09:25D. Palii2.25911451I. Pytsko1.5711911113LJul 4 · 08:25D. Palii2.0011215882O. Storozhenko1.736111311113LJul 4 · 04:55D. Palii2.006780I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113LJul 3 · 18:55D. Palii2.00111851O. Storozhenko1.7311711113WJul 3 · 16:55I. Fashchevskyi1.7312851172D. Palii2.001011117113WJul 3 · 14:55S. Prus2.006111051D. Palii1.7311112113WJul 3 · 13:55D. Palii1.801110119113M. Potapov1.9181271152
O. Alieksieev10
LAug 17 · 10:14M. Khomenko4.0012611113O. Alieksieev1.221011571WAug 17 · 09:05V. Kovalchuk2.25111015792O. Alieksieev1.579121311113WAug 17 · 07:35O. Alieksieev1.44111188113O. Rodin2.6379111152WAug 17 · 06:05O. Alieksieev1.301111113M. Khomenko3.407640WAug 17 · 04:35O. Alieksieev1.539111315153Y. Vorsuliak2.381121513132LAug 16 · 17:15Y. Vorsuliak1.53119811113O. Alieksieev2.3871111632WAug 16 · 15:35Y. Kolos2.639950O. Alieksieev1.441111113WAug 16 · 14:35O. Alieksieev1.50711134113Y. Vorsuliak2.50117111172WAug 16 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.633470O. Alieksieev1.441111113WAug 16 · 12:35O. Alieksieev1.531111113O. Rodin2.384650
Upcoming Matches
D. Palii
Sep 10 · 23:45D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—Sep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.50T. Gil1.50—Sep 11 · 03:15D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 11 · 16:55D. Palii1.83M. Slozka1.83—Sep 11 · 17:55D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—
O. Alieksieev
Nothing scheduled
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