TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12448216
Played Aug 17Finished
Maksym Khomenko
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210611115117––
Oleksandr Alieksieev
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingMaksym Khomenko above · Oleksandr Alieksieev below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7
73 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Khomenko 3–4 Oleksandr Alieksieev Maksym Khomenko has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Alieksieev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khomenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhomenko 4.00 / Alieksieev 1.22
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Alieksieev)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12448216
Khomenko4.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 68 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back30% 30 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 65
Alieksieev1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 55 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it100% 33 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKhomenko3wins
AwayAlieksieev4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderAlieksieev leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhomenko100%3 of 3
AwayAlieksieev100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khomenko3Alieksieev4n = 7Alieksieev took 4 of 7
S2Khomenko2Alieksieev5n = 7Alieksieev took 5 of 7
S3Khomenko3Alieksieev4n = 7Alieksieev took 4 of 7
S4Khomenko0Alieksieev3n = 3Alieksieev took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricKhomenkoAlieksieevK − ABasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match30.934.3−3.4per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhomenkoAlieksieevBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 894 vs 119 / 19855.7%60.1%498 / 894 vs 119 / 198Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlieksieevKhomenko 4.00/Alieksieev 1.22
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
84.6%
Alieksieev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khomenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 17 · 06:05M. Khomenko—7640O. Alieksieev—1111113
LAug 16 · 13:35M. Khomenko—3470O. Alieksieev—1111113
LAug 16 · 01:00M. Khomenko—9370O. Alieksieev—1111113
WAug 10 · 10:35M. Khomenko—115119113O. Alieksieev—81181182
LAug 9 · 17:05M. Khomenko—9111041O. Alieksieev—11412113
WAug 8 · 20:30M. Khomenko—1111113O. Alieksieev—3980
WJul 25 · 20:30M. Khomenko—1181111113O. Alieksieev—61141332
M. Khomenko10
LSep 7 · 08:05D. Shchegelskyi1.571381111113M. Khomenko2.2515115982LSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 06:05Y. Kolos3.258540M. Khomenko1.331111113WSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880WSep 6 · 18:05I. Hrekh1.4415730M. Khomenko2.631711113WSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140WSep 6 · 16:05M. Khomenko1.80111143M. Loboda1.914210WSep 6 · 14:35M. Khomenko2.10911711113D. Shchegelskyi1.6711611542LSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113LSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113
O. Alieksieev10
WAug 17 · 09:05V. Kovalchuk2.25111015792O. Alieksieev1.579121311113WAug 17 · 07:35O. Alieksieev1.44111188113O. Rodin2.6379111152WAug 17 · 06:05O. Alieksieev1.301111113M. Khomenko3.407640WAug 17 · 04:35O. Alieksieev1.539111315153Y. Vorsuliak2.381121513132LAug 16 · 17:15Y. Vorsuliak1.53119811113O. Alieksieev2.3871111632WAug 16 · 15:35Y. Kolos2.639950O. Alieksieev1.441111113WAug 16 · 14:35O. Alieksieev1.50711134113Y. Vorsuliak2.50117111172WAug 16 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.633470O. Alieksieev1.441111113WAug 16 · 12:35O. Alieksieev1.531111113O. Rodin2.384650LAug 16 · 03:00O. Alieksieev1.538111371Y. Vorsuliak2.3811615113
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