TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12440754
Played Aug 16Finished
Oleksandr Alieksieev
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116115––––
Oleksii Rodin
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Alieksieev to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Alieksieev above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 48 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Alieksieev at 66.9%
48 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Alieksieev 7–4 Oleksii Rodin Oleksii Rodin has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Alieksieev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Alieksieev
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Alieksieev 1713 vs Rodin 1581
Alieksieev
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Alieksieev 60% vs Rodin 40%
Alieksieev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Alieksieev 60% vs Rodin 30%
Alieksieev
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Alieksieev -1 · Rodin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Alieksieev) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAlieksieev 1.53 / Rodin 2.38
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Alieksieev)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12440754
Alieksieev1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 51 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Rodin2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog56% won 19 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAlieksieev6wins
AwayRodin4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderAlieksieev leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAlieksieev100%4 of 4
AwayRodin66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Alieksieev4Rodin6n = 10Rodin took 6 of 10
S2Alieksieev7Rodin3n = 10Alieksieev took 7 of 10
S3Alieksieev7Rodin3n = 10Alieksieev took 7 of 10
S4Alieksieev3Rodin1n = 4Alieksieev took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAlieksieevRodinA − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.131.2+2.9per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAlieksieevRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 189 vs 148 / 23658.7%62.7%111 / 189 vs 148 / 236Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlieksieevAlieksieev 1.53/Rodin 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Alieksieev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Alieksieev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 16 · 01:12O. Alieksieev—51111113O. Rodin—119561
WAug 15 · 22:00O. Alieksieev—121111113O. Rodin—142961
WAug 10 · 06:05O. Alieksieev—1111113O. Rodin—9170
LAug 9 · 14:05O. Alieksieev—98111192O. Rodin—111147113
WAug 9 · 01:30O. Alieksieev—1111163O. Rodin—67140
WJul 8 · 07:35O. Alieksieev—1112113O. Rodin—91090
WJul 7 · 14:05O. Alieksieev—1211113O. Rodin—10880
LJul 6 · 22:00O. Alieksieev—1211881O. Rodin—14611113
LJun 17 · 08:35O. Alieksieev—6640O. Rodin—1111113
LJun 16 · 15:35O. Alieksieev—8170O. Rodin—1111113
O. Alieksieev10
LAug 17 · 10:14M. Khomenko4.0012611113O. Alieksieev1.221011571WAug 17 · 09:05V. Kovalchuk2.25111015792O. Alieksieev1.579121311113WAug 17 · 07:35O. Alieksieev1.44111188113O. Rodin2.6379111152WAug 17 · 06:05O. Alieksieev1.301111113M. Khomenko3.407640WAug 17 · 04:35O. Alieksieev1.539111315153Y. Vorsuliak2.381121513132LAug 16 · 17:15Y. Vorsuliak1.53119811113O. Alieksieev2.3871111632WAug 16 · 15:35Y. Kolos2.639950O. Alieksieev1.441111113WAug 16 · 14:35O. Alieksieev1.50711134113Y. Vorsuliak2.50117111172WAug 16 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.633470O. Alieksieev1.441111113LAug 16 · 03:00O. Alieksieev1.538111371Y. Vorsuliak2.3811615113
O. Rodin10
WSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111LSep 7 · 07:35Y. Kolos1.911111127113O. Rodin1.8087141172LSep 7 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.73117112153O. Rodin2.00811911132LSep 7 · 05:05M. Khomenko1.831111113O. Rodin1.833880LSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:05M. Khomenko2.101113113O. Rodin1.6761140LSep 6 · 15:05I. Hrekh1.611111113O. Rodin2.206340WSep 6 · 14:05O. Rodin2.38111111113M. Loboda1.53138571WSep 6 · 13:05D. Shchegelskyi1.73631181O. Rodin2.001111793LAug 17 · 07:35O. Alieksieev1.44111188113O. Rodin2.6379111152
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