TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12444594
Played Aug 16Finished
Yaroslav Vorsuliak
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117911811116113
Oleksandr Alieksieev
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Oleksandr Alieksieev below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 88 set 5, 11-3
88 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 1–1 Oleksandr Alieksieev Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Alieksieev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Alieksieev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 1.53 / Alieksieev 2.38
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Alieksieev)+14.8pp
Setka Cup · #12444594
Vorsuliak1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 84 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it92% 36 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Alieksieev2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 16 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVorsuliak1wins
AwayAlieksieev1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVorsuliakAlieksieevV − ABasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match33.539.5−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakAlieksieevBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 873 vs 115 / 19350.2%59.6%438 / 873 vs 115 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AlieksieevVorsuliak 1.53/Alieksieev 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Alieksieev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vorsuliak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 16 · 03:00Y. Vorsuliak—11615113O. Alieksieev—8111371
LAug 8 · 23:30Y. Vorsuliak—411451O. Alieksieev—11711113
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 7 · 08:35O. Rodin2.0011114133Y. Vorsuliak1.737611111WSep 7 · 07:05M. Khomenko2.389670Y. Vorsuliak1.531111113WSep 7 · 05:35D. Shchegelskyi2.201011111582Y. Vorsuliak1.61125917113WSep 7 · 04:35Y. Kolos2.1091113842Y. Vorsuliak1.671191111113WSep 6 · 19:05O. Rodin1.839560Y. Vorsuliak1.831111103LSep 6 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak2.6311611882M. Loboda1.44811311113WSep 6 · 15:35D. Shchegelskyi2.20135221Y. Vorsuliak1.61111111113LSep 6 · 13:35I. Hrekh1.501111113Y. Vorsuliak2.508480WSep 6 · 12:35M. Khomenko2.25119921Y. Vorsuliak1.5791111113WSep 4 · 11:35Y. Vorsuliak2.3812118113A. Romanenko1.531091171
O. Alieksieev10
LAug 17 · 10:14M. Khomenko4.0012611113O. Alieksieev1.221011571WAug 17 · 09:05V. Kovalchuk2.25111015792O. Alieksieev1.579121311113WAug 17 · 07:35O. Alieksieev1.44111188113O. Rodin2.6379111152WAug 17 · 06:05O. Alieksieev1.301111113M. Khomenko3.407640WAug 17 · 04:35O. Alieksieev1.539111315153Y. Vorsuliak2.381121513132WAug 16 · 15:35Y. Kolos2.639950O. Alieksieev1.441111113WAug 16 · 14:35O. Alieksieev1.50711134113Y. Vorsuliak2.50117111172WAug 16 · 13:35M. Khomenko2.633470O. Alieksieev1.441111113WAug 16 · 12:35O. Alieksieev1.531111113O. Rodin2.384650LAug 16 · 03:00O. Alieksieev1.538111371Y. Vorsuliak2.3811615113
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