TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12146539
Played Jul 3Finished
Dmytro Palii
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181012117911115
Mykhailo Potapov
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Mykhailo Potapov below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 95 set 5, 11-5
95 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Palii 3–4 Mykhailo Potapov Dmytro Palii has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Potapov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Potapov form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalii 1.80 / Potapov 1.91
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Potapov)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12146539
Palii1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 16 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Potapov1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 25 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back25% 7 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomePalii3wins
AwayPotapov4wins
Potapov leads 4–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePalii100%3 of 3
AwayPotapov100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palii3Potapov4n = 7Potapov took 4 of 7
S2Palii3Potapov4n = 7Potapov took 4 of 7
S3Palii3Potapov4n = 7Potapov took 4 of 7
S4Palii2Potapov2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricPaliiPotapovPalii − PotapovBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match29.934.6−4.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaliiPotapovBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 161 vs 295 / 61059%48.4%95 / 161 vs 295 / 610Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotapovPalii 1.80/Potapov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Potapov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Palii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 2 · 20:45D. Palii—1211113M. Potapov—10920
LJun 30 · 08:25D. Palii—8990M. Potapov—1111113
WJun 29 · 15:55D. Palii—12611113M. Potapov—1011851
WJun 18 · 06:55D. Palii—11811113M. Potapov—911991
LJun 17 · 16:55D. Palii—711451M. Potapov—11911113
LJun 13 · 10:25D. Palii—611571M. Potapov—11811113
LJun 11 · 20:45D. Palii—6330M. Potapov—1111113
D. Palii10
LSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131LSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LJul 4 · 10:25S. Prus2.101111113D. Palii1.675830LJul 4 · 09:25D. Palii2.25911451I. Pytsko1.5711911113LJul 4 · 08:25D. Palii2.0011215882O. Storozhenko1.736111311113WJul 4 · 06:55D. Palii2.1011911113O. Alieksieev1.67811991LJul 4 · 04:55D. Palii2.006780I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113LJul 3 · 18:55D. Palii2.00111851O. Storozhenko1.7311711113WJul 3 · 16:55I. Fashchevskyi1.7312851172D. Palii2.001011117113WJul 3 · 14:55S. Prus2.006111051D. Palii1.7311112113
M. Potapov10
WSep 9 · 10:35D. Maltsev1.8311152972M. Potapov1.838131111113WSep 9 · 09:35M. Potapov2.20911115113I. Pytsko1.6111691152LSep 9 · 08:35M. Potapov1.8381161172I. Fashchevskyi1.83115117113LSep 9 · 07:05M. Potapov1.731176101Y. Tebenko2.0091111123WSep 9 · 05:05M. Potapov2.5081111113O. Storozhenko1.50118961WSep 8 · 18:05V. Moshovskyi2.10681141M. Potapov1.6711114113WSep 8 · 17:05M. Potapov1.831111113D. Maltsev1.837770WSep 8 · 16:05M. Potapov2.10115711113I. Pytsko1.6781111772WSep 8 · 14:35M. Potapov1.801311113Y. Tebenko1.9111720LSep 8 · 12:35M. Potapov2.25411571O. Storozhenko1.5711611113
Upcoming Matches
D. Palii
Sep 10 · 23:45D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—Sep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.50T. Gil1.50—Sep 11 · 03:15D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 11 · 16:55D. Palii1.83M. Slozka1.83—Sep 11 · 17:55D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—
M. Potapov
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