TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095098
Played Sep 8Finished
Vasyl Moshovskyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611811114411––
Mykhailo Potapov
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Potapov to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Mykhailo Potapov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 66 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Mykhailo Potapov at 57.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 3–5 Mykhailo Potapov Vasyl Moshovskyi has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:43What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Potapov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Potapov
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1531 vs Potapov 1553
Potapov
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 60% vs Potapov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 50% vs Potapov 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi -1 · Potapov +3
Potapov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Potapov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moshovskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 2.10 / Potapov 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Potapov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13095098
Moshovskyi2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog47% won 47 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back31% 17 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back16% 5 of 32
Potapov1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 49 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it86% 42 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi3wins
AwayPotapov5wins
Potapov leads 5–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi50%2 of 4
AwayPotapov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi4Potapov4n = 8split evenly
S2Moshovskyi5Potapov3n = 8Moshovskyi took 5 of 8
S3Moshovskyi3Potapov5n = 8Potapov took 5 of 8
S4Moshovskyi2Potapov5n = 7Potapov took 5 of 7
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away563%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiPotapovM − PBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match36.236.20.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiPotapovBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 329 vs 202 / 42755.3%47.3%182 / 329 vs 202 / 427Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotapovMoshovskyi 2.10/Potapov 1.67
Hit
What we said
57%
Potapov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Potapov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 1 · 18:05V. Moshovskyi—1111113M. Potapov—8670
LAug 31 · 23:00V. Moshovskyi—817971M. Potapov—111511113
LAug 10 · 20:00V. Moshovskyi—811791M. Potapov—11611113
WFeb 11 · 11:55V. Moshovskyi—11611113M. Potapov—911961
LJan 23 · 17:25V. Moshovskyi—118871M. Potapov—61111113
LJan 20 · 23:30V. Moshovskyi—811581M. Potapov—11511113
LJan 15 · 10:35V. Moshovskyi—115881M. Potapov—81111113
WJan 14 · 17:35V. Moshovskyi—111111113M. Potapov—133671
V. Moshovskyi10
LSep 8 · 16:35V. Moshovskyi1.5711411682Y. Tebenko2.25311211113WSep 8 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi1.7311111010113D. Maltsev2.0068121282WSep 8 · 13:35V. Moshovskyi2.10121011123O. Storozhenko1.6710126101LSep 8 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi2.25111110992I. Pytsko1.57891211113WSep 1 · 18:05M. Potapov1.578670V. Moshovskyi2.251111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Moshovskyi1.801031181M. Slozka1.9112114113LSep 1 · 16:05V. Moshovskyi1.67137117102D. Maltsev2.101111611123WSep 1 · 14:35V. Moshovskyi3.2511117113I. Pytsko1.33971171WSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.573111181V. Korobko2.2511713113
M. Potapov10
WSep 8 · 17:05M. Potapov1.831111113D. Maltsev1.837770WSep 8 · 16:05M. Potapov2.10115711113I. Pytsko1.6781111772WSep 8 · 14:35M. Potapov1.801311113Y. Tebenko1.9111720LSep 8 · 12:35M. Potapov2.25411571O. Storozhenko1.5711611113LSep 8 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi2.001111113M. Potapov1.735890LSep 8 · 01:45M. Potapov2.106880I. Pytsko1.671111113WSep 7 · 23:45O. Storozhenko1.5081151182M. Potapov2.50114114113LSep 7 · 21:45D. Maltsev1.80812812113M. Potapov1.911110111092WSep 7 · 20:45V. Korobko4.3371141352M. Potapov1.201171111113LSep 1 · 18:05M. Potapov1.578670V. Moshovskyi2.251111113
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