TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089393
Played Sep 7Finished
Denys Maltsev
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81112108111210119
Mykhailo Potapov
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Potapov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Mykhailo Potapov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 102 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Mykhailo Potapov at 54.0%
102 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 17–18 Mykhailo Potapov Denys Maltsev has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:20What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Maltsev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-18 in 35
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1499 vs Potapov 1556
Potapov
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 60% vs Potapov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 30% vs Potapov 60%
Potapov
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev -1 · Potapov +3
Potapov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Potapov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 1.80 / Potapov 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Potapov)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13089393
Maltsev1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 114 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it87% 75 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it75% 92 of 123
Potapov1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 46 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev5wins
AwayPotapov5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev75%3 of 4
AwayPotapov66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev4Potapov6n = 10Potapov took 6 of 10
S2Maltsev2Potapov8n = 10Potapov took 8 of 10
S3Maltsev7Potapov3n = 10Maltsev took 7 of 10
S4Maltsev7Potapov2n = 9Maltsev took 7 of 9
S5Maltsev2Potapov3n = 5Potapov took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevPotapovM − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.242.6−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevPotapovBasisWin rate · lifetime447 / 876 vs 198 / 41951%47.3%447 / 876 vs 198 / 419Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotapovMaltsev 1.80/Potapov 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Potapov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 20:00D. Maltsev—13971172M. Potapov—1111118113
LSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev—84111182M. Potapov—111179113
LSep 1 · 12:05D. Maltsev—871161M. Potapov—11119113
WAug 20 · 21:45D. Maltsev—1151410113M. Potapov—711121242
WAug 17 · 23:30D. Maltsev—71111143M. Potapov—1198121
LAug 12 · 04:35D. Maltsev—64111282M. Potapov—1111410113
LJul 31 · 11:55D. Maltsev—7790M. Potapov—1111113
WJun 27 · 09:25D. Maltsev—571111113M. Potapov—11118772
WJun 13 · 04:55D. Maltsev—11711113M. Potapov—711681
WJun 12 · 24:15D. Maltsev—141211113M. Potapov—12101361
D. Maltsev10
LSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev1.83114134172I. Pytsko1.839111111193WSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113WSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 5 · 22:00M. Khomenko1.361111113113D. Maltsev3.0013881162LSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.918111091O. Budnikov1.8011712113LSep 4 · 16:25D. Maltsev1.831012129152Y. Tebenko1.8312101011173LSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113LSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113
M. Potapov10
WSep 7 · 20:45V. Korobko4.3371141352M. Potapov1.201171111113WSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970WSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050LSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113LSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113WSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151WSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151LSep 4 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.83111147113M. Potapov1.8366111162WSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113
Upcoming Matches
D. Maltsev
Sep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67I. Fashchevskyi2.10—Sep 8 · 24:45D. Maltsev1.83O. Storozhenko1.83—Sep 8 · 02:15D. Maltsev1.25V. Korobko3.75—Sep 8 · 13:05D. Maltsev1.91Y. Tebenko1.80—Sep 8 · 14:05D. Maltsev2.25I. Pytsko1.57—Sep 8 · 15:05D. Maltsev2.00V. Moshovskyi1.73—Sep 8 · 17:05D. Maltsev1.80M. Potapov1.91—Sep 8 · 19:05D. Maltsev1.83O. Storozhenko1.83—
M. Potapov
Sep 7 · 23:45M. Potapov2.50O. Storozhenko1.50—Sep 8 · 01:45M. Potapov2.00I. Pytsko1.73—Sep 8 · 03:15M. Potapov1.73I. Fashchevskyi2.00—Sep 8 · 12:35M. Potapov2.50O. Storozhenko1.50—Sep 8 · 14:35M. Potapov1.80Y. Tebenko1.91—Sep 8 · 16:05M. Potapov2.00I. Pytsko1.73—Sep 8 · 17:05M. Potapov1.91D. Maltsev1.80—Sep 8 · 18:05M. Potapov1.67V. Moshovskyi2.10—
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