TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088903
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
4.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111174111311511
Mykhailo Potapov
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 80.7% is still 80.7%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Potapov to win
80.7%
80.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Mykhailo Potapov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 91 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Mykhailo Potapov at 80.7%
91 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 6–16 Mykhailo Potapov Volodymyr Korobko has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Potapov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-16 in 22
Potapov
Correct
gap of 10 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1491 vs Potapov 1547
Potapov
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 40% vs Potapov 60%
Potapov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 50% vs Potapov 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko -3 · Potapov +2
Korobko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Potapov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Potapov form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 4.33 / Potapov 1.20
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Potapov)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088903
Korobko4.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 39 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Potapov1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it85% 41 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobko0wins
AwayPotapov10wins
Potapov leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPotapov100%10 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko0Potapov10n = 10Potapov took 10 of 10
S2Korobko1Potapov9n = 10Potapov took 9 of 10
S3Korobko1Potapov9n = 10Potapov took 9 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away880%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobkoPotapovK − PBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match20.835.5−14.7per matchSweeps08−83–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoPotapovBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 482 vs 197 / 41845.9%47.1%221 / 482 vs 197 / 418Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PotapovKorobko 4.33/Potapov 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.7%
Potapov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Potapov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 02:00V. Korobko—5970M. Potapov—1111113
LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko—4121131M. Potapov—11149113
LSep 1 · 01:00V. Korobko—711921M. Potapov—11811113
LAug 21 · 02:15V. Korobko—9830M. Potapov—1111113
LAug 18 · 24:30V. Korobko—83110M. Potapov—1111133
LAug 11 · 24:00V. Korobko—86100M. Potapov—1111123
LJul 23 · 22:45V. Korobko—4530M. Potapov—1111113
LMar 17 · 24:00V. Korobko—8450M. Potapov—1111113
LDec 21 · 21:00V. Korobko—8240M. Potapov—1111113
LNov 25 · 01:30V. Korobko—44110M. Potapov—1111133
V. Korobko10
LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113WSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110WSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko1.8311117113I. Fashchevskyi1.83751181
M. Potapov10
WSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970WSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050LSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113LSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113WSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151WSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151LSep 4 · 15:25Y. Tebenko1.83111147113M. Potapov1.8366111162WSep 4 · 13:25D. Maltsev1.7384111182M. Potapov2.00111179113WSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113
Upcoming Matches
V. Korobko
M. Potapov
Sep 7 · 23:45M. Potapov2.50O. Storozhenko1.50—Sep 8 · 01:45M. Potapov2.00I. Pytsko1.73—Sep 8 · 03:15M. Potapov1.73I. Fashchevskyi2.00—Sep 8 · 12:35M. Potapov2.50O. Storozhenko1.50—Sep 8 · 14:35M. Potapov1.80Y. Tebenko1.91—Sep 8 · 16:05M. Potapov2.00I. Pytsko1.73—Sep 8 · 17:05M. Potapov1.91D. Maltsev1.80—Sep 8 · 18:05M. Potapov1.67V. Moshovskyi2.10—
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