TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094701
Played Sep 8Finished
Vasyl Moshovskyi
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181191012911911
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasyl Moshovskyi above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 101 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 61.3%
101 points played in total.
H2H Vasyl Moshovskyi 3–8 Ivan Pytsko Vasyl Moshovskyi has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moshovskyi 1526 vs Pytsko 1533
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moshovskyi 60% vs Pytsko 80%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moshovskyi 40% vs Pytsko 70%
Pytsko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moshovskyi +1 · Pytsko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoshovskyi 2.25 / Pytsko 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Pytsko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094701
Moshovskyi2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 47 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back31% 17 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back16% 5 of 32
Pytsko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 49 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoshovskyi3wins
AwayPytsko7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoshovskyi66.7%2 of 3
AwayPytsko85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moshovskyi3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S2Moshovskyi3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S3Moshovskyi3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S4Moshovskyi3Pytsko2n = 5Moshovskyi took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoshovskyiPytskoM − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.335.5−4.2per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoshovskyiPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 325 vs 332 / 59555.4%55.8%180 / 325 vs 332 / 595Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoMoshovskyi 2.25/Pytsko 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 24:30V. Moshovskyi—8770I. Pytsko—1111113
LJul 18 · 02:45V. Moshovskyi—3670I. Pytsko—1111113
WJul 15 · 08:05V. Moshovskyi—11811113I. Pytsko—511991
LJul 11 · 02:15V. Moshovskyi—8870I. Pytsko—1111113
LFeb 25 · 10:25V. Moshovskyi—11129972I. Pytsko—9101111113
WFeb 11 · 07:55V. Moshovskyi—91111113I. Pytsko—117791
LFeb 4 · 07:55V. Moshovskyi—5990I. Pytsko—1111113
LFeb 1 · 05:55V. Moshovskyi—91140I. Pytsko—1113113
WJan 19 · 10:35V. Moshovskyi—11611113I. Pytsko—511641
LJan 17 · 21:00V. Moshovskyi—811791I. Pytsko—11911113
V. Moshovskyi10
WSep 8 · 13:35V. Moshovskyi2.10121011123O. Storozhenko1.6710126101WSep 1 · 18:05M. Potapov1.578670V. Moshovskyi2.251111113LSep 1 · 17:05V. Moshovskyi1.801031181M. Slozka1.9112114113LSep 1 · 16:05V. Moshovskyi1.67137117102D. Maltsev2.101111611123WSep 1 · 14:35V. Moshovskyi3.2511117113I. Pytsko1.33971171WSep 1 · 12:35V. Moshovskyi1.3611118113V. Dobrovolskyi3.00851131LSep 1 · 02:00V. Moshovskyi1.573111181V. Korobko2.2511713113LSep 1 · 24:30V. Moshovskyi2.758770I. Pytsko1.401111113LAug 31 · 23:00V. Moshovskyi2.20817971M. Potapov1.61111511113LAug 31 · 21:30V. Moshovskyi1.83124911122M. Slozka1.831011118143
I. Pytsko10
LSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko1.6111114113I. Pytsko2.20381151WSep 8 · 01:45M. Potapov2.106880I. Pytsko1.671111113WSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133WSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91611116102I. Pytsko1.80119611123WSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev1.83114134172I. Pytsko1.839111111193LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183LSep 1 · 14:35V. Moshovskyi3.2511117113I. Pytsko1.33971171WSep 1 · 24:30V. Moshovskyi2.758770I. Pytsko1.401111113
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