TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089103
Played Sep 8Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9119111171151113
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 98 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 17–12 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Pytsko has won 12 of their 29 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:00What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-12 in 29
Korobko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1466 vs Pytsko 1530
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 0% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 30% vs Pytsko 70%
Pytsko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko -5 · Pytsko +2
Korobko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 2.00 / Pytsko 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pytsko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089103
Korobko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 39 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Pytsko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 46 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it69% 36 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobko6wins
AwayPytsko4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKorobko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobko71.4%5 of 7
AwayPytsko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko7Pytsko3n = 10Korobko took 7 of 10
S2Korobko7Pytsko3n = 10Korobko took 7 of 10
S3Korobko4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S4Korobko2Pytsko3n = 5Pytsko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobkoPytskoK − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match35.030.4+4.6per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 474 vs 330 / 59245.4%55.7%215 / 474 vs 330 / 592Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoKorobko 2.00/Pytsko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 22:30V. Korobko—71160I. Pytsko—1113113
LAug 27 · 21:45V. Korobko—61050I. Pytsko—1112113
WAug 24 · 20:00V. Korobko—111168113I. Pytsko—69111172
LAug 23 · 07:55V. Korobko—1110891I. Pytsko—61211113
LAug 8 · 24:15V. Korobko—11128262I. Pytsko—3101111113
WJul 24 · 02:15V. Korobko—11117113I. Pytsko—791141
WJul 18 · 24:15V. Korobko—1111113I. Pytsko—6470
WJul 14 · 24:30V. Korobko—91111113I. Pytsko—112841
WJul 10 · 22:45V. Korobko—1111113I. Pytsko—6750
WJan 11 · 03:30V. Korobko—1111113I. Pytsko—4460
V. Korobko10
LSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko1.9171111592O. Storozhenko1.80113711113LSep 7 · 20:45V. Korobko4.3371141352M. Potapov1.201171111113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113
I. Pytsko10
WSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91611116102I. Pytsko1.80119611123WSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev1.83114134172I. Pytsko1.839111111193LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113
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