TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088753
Played Sep 7Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711113117511911
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 86 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 54.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 14–10 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:18What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Storozhenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-10 in 24
Korobko
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1473 vs Storozhenko 1579
Storozhenko
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 20% vs Storozhenko 60%
Storozhenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 40% vs Storozhenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko -4 · Storozhenko +2
Korobko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 1.91 / Storozhenko 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Storozhenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13088753
Korobko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 39 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Storozhenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 155 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it86% 56 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it68% 98 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKorobko7wins
AwayStorozhenko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKorobko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobko100%6 of 6
AwayStorozhenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko6Storozhenko4n = 10Korobko took 6 of 10
S2Korobko7Storozhenko3n = 10Korobko took 7 of 10
S3Korobko5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Korobko3Storozhenko4n = 7Storozhenko took 4 of 7
S5Korobko3Storozhenko1n = 4Korobko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKorobkoStorozhenkoK − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.835.9+4.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 474 vs 245 / 47145.4%52%215 / 474 vs 245 / 471Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoKorobko 1.91/Storozhenko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko—71111592O. Storozhenko—113711113
WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko—11511173O. Storozhenko—7114151
WSep 4 · 02:15V. Korobko—1311113O. Storozhenko—11390
WAug 29 · 23:00V. Korobko—117711173O. Storozhenko—711117152
WAug 21 · 24:15V. Korobko—1111113O. Storozhenko—5760
LAug 17 · 23:00V. Korobko—41111101O. Storozhenko—11513123
WAug 10 · 20:30V. Korobko—711119113O. Storozhenko—11781132
WAug 1 · 23:45V. Korobko—111110113O. Storozhenko—451281
WJul 25 · 20:45V. Korobko—121187113O. Storozhenko—107111152
LJul 23 · 20:45V. Korobko—9770O. Storozhenko—1111113
V. Korobko10
LSep 7 · 20:45V. Korobko4.3371141352M. Potapov1.201171111113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113LSep 4 · 01:15V. Korobko1.8096110Y. Tebenko1.911111133LSep 4 · 24:15V. Korobko4.334121131M. Potapov1.2011149113WSep 3 · 22:45V. Korobko1.831111133O. Budnikov1.8368110
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 7 · 23:45O. Storozhenko1.5081151182M. Potapov2.50114114113WSep 7 · 21:15O. Storozhenko1.57811811113I. Fashchevskyi2.2511711972WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113LSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151LSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113
Upcoming Matches
V. Korobko
O. Storozhenko
Sep 8 · 24:45O. Storozhenko1.83D. Maltsev1.83—Sep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko1.61I. Pytsko2.20—Sep 8 · 12:35O. Storozhenko1.50M. Potapov2.50—Sep 8 · 13:35O. Storozhenko1.73V. Moshovskyi2.00—Sep 8 · 15:35O. Storozhenko1.73Y. Tebenko2.00—Sep 8 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.61I. Pytsko2.20—Sep 8 · 19:05O. Storozhenko1.83D. Maltsev1.83—
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