TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089364
Played Sep 7Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111191166111012
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 93 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 9–10 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:10What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1431 vs Pytsko 1522
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 40% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 40% vs Pytsko 70%
Pytsko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi -2 · Pytsko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 1.91 / Pytsko 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Pytsko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13089364
Fashchevskyi1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 89 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back28% 26 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Pytsko1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 46 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it69% 36 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi7wins
AwayPytsko3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi75%3 of 4
AwayPytsko33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S2Fashchevskyi6Pytsko4n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S3Fashchevskyi6Pytsko4n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S4Fashchevskyi5Pytsko4n = 9Fashchevskyi took 5 of 9
S5Fashchevskyi3Pytsko0n = 3Fashchevskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiPytskoF − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.339.30.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime279 / 550 vs 329 / 59150.7%55.7%279 / 550 vs 329 / 591Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoFashchevskyi 1.91/Pytsko 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi—711511113I. Pytsko—11911862
WAug 24 · 22:00I. Fashchevskyi—1111113I. Pytsko—9580
WAug 2 · 21:00I. Fashchevskyi—111011123I. Pytsko—9127101
WJul 25 · 07:25I. Fashchevskyi—811412113I. Pytsko—119111092
WJul 24 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi—11812143I. Pytsko—51110121
LJul 23 · 23:15I. Fashchevskyi—5161191I. Pytsko—11184113
LJul 14 · 18:05I. Fashchevskyi—138671I. Pytsko—111111113
WJul 8 · 12:55I. Fashchevskyi—21111113I. Pytsko—119591
LJul 4 · 11:25I. Fashchevskyi—411491I. Pytsko—11611113
WMar 3 · 18:05I. Fashchevskyi—711112113I. Pytsko—11951132
I. Fashchevskyi10
WSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67411971I. Fashchevskyi2.1011811113LSep 7 · 21:15O. Storozhenko1.57811811113I. Fashchevskyi2.2511711972LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220LSep 4 · 01:45I. Fashchevskyi2.10811661M. Potapov1.6711811113LSep 3 · 23:45O. Budnikov1.5711911113I. Fashchevskyi2.25911541
I. Pytsko10
WSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev1.83114134172I. Pytsko1.839111111193LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151LSep 4 · 16:55O. Budnikov1.571111113I. Pytsko2.257950WSep 4 · 14:55D. Maltsev2.257111191I. Pytsko1.5711313113WSep 4 · 13:55I. Pytsko2.3811117153O. Storozhenko1.539711131
Upcoming Matches
I. Fashchevskyi
I. Pytsko
Sep 8 · 24:15I. Pytsko1.73V. Korobko2.00—Sep 8 · 01:45I. Pytsko1.73M. Potapov2.00—Sep 8 · 02:45I. Pytsko2.20O. Storozhenko1.61—Sep 8 · 12:05I. Pytsko1.57V. Moshovskyi2.25—Sep 8 · 14:05I. Pytsko1.67D. Maltsev2.10—Sep 8 · 16:05I. Pytsko1.73M. Potapov2.00—Sep 8 · 17:35I. Pytsko2.20O. Storozhenko1.61—Sep 8 · 18:35I. Pytsko1.73Y. Tebenko2.00—
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