TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089083
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113118411115––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:50 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 64 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 55.9%
64 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 7–4 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Pytsko has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Storozhenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Storozhenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Storozhenko 1603 vs Pytsko 1533
Storozhenko
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Storozhenko 80% vs Pytsko 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Storozhenko 60% vs Pytsko 80%
Pytsko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Storozhenko +1 · Pytsko +4
Pytsko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStorozhenko 1.61 / Pytsko 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Storozhenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13089083
Storozhenko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 155 of 283
Up 2–0, closes it86% 56 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it68% 98 of 144
Pytsko2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 24 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back29% 9 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStorozhenko7wins
AwayPytsko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStorozhenko77.8%7 of 9
AwayPytskon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Storozhenko9Pytsko1n = 10Storozhenko took 9 of 10
S2Storozhenko5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S3Storozhenko6Pytsko4n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S4Storozhenko4Pytsko2n = 6Storozhenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStorozhenkoPytskoS − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.832.1+5.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStorozhenkoPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 474 vs 332 / 59552.1%55.8%247 / 474 vs 332 / 595Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoStorozhenko 1.61/Pytsko 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko—11114113I. Pytsko—381151
LSep 4 · 13:55O. Storozhenko—9711131I. Pytsko—11117153
WAug 5 · 06:35O. Storozhenko—1111113I. Pytsko—8860
WAug 2 · 23:30O. Storozhenko—128812113I. Pytsko—1011111092
LJul 23 · 21:45O. Storozhenko—1358101I. Pytsko—111111123
WJul 18 · 01:45O. Storozhenko—1111113I. Pytsko—5840
LJul 11 · 01:15O. Storozhenko—11961182I. Pytsko—611112113
WJul 9 · 22:15O. Storozhenko—1111113I. Pytsko—5680
WJul 8 · 18:25O. Storozhenko—1111113I. Pytsko—7890
WJul 4 · 06:25O. Storozhenko—11312113I. Pytsko—7111031
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 8 · 24:45D. Maltsev1.83711911112O. Storozhenko1.83117114133LSep 7 · 23:45O. Storozhenko1.5081151182M. Potapov2.50114114113WSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko1.9171111592O. Storozhenko1.80113711113WSep 7 · 21:15O. Storozhenko1.57811811113I. Fashchevskyi2.2511711972WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113LSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113
I. Pytsko10
WSep 8 · 01:45M. Potapov2.106880I. Pytsko1.671111113WSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133WSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91611116102I. Pytsko1.80119611123WSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev1.83114134172I. Pytsko1.839111111193LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151
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