TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088826
Played Sep 8Finished
Denys Maltsev
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111179111141113
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Maltsev to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 95 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Denys Maltsev at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 28–23 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 23 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:38What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Storozhenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-23 in 51
Maltsev
Wrong
gap of 5 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1496 vs Storozhenko 1574
Storozhenko
Correct
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 60% vs Storozhenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 40% vs Storozhenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev -1 · Storozhenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Storozhenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 1.83 / Storozhenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Storozhenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088826
Maltsev1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Storozhenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev3wins
AwayStorozhenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev25%1 of 4
AwayStorozhenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S2Maltsev5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Maltsev4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S4Maltsev3Storozhenko6n = 9Storozhenko took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevStorozhenkoM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.140.2−5.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 878 vs 245 / 47251%51.9%448 / 878 vs 245 / 472Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoMaltsev 1.83/Storozhenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 01:30D. Maltsev—41111113O. Storozhenko—116971
LSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev—1231181O. Storozhenko—101113113
LAug 31 · 11:35D. Maltsev—561161O. Storozhenko—11119113
LAug 29 · 22:00D. Maltsev—119441O. Storozhenko—91111113
LAug 29 · 01:45D. Maltsev—6111251O. Storozhenko—11114113
LAug 26 · 10:05D. Maltsev—711961O. Storozhenko—11811113
LAug 25 · 12:05D. Maltsev—116681O. Storozhenko—81111113
WAug 21 · 01:45D. Maltsev—8111111113O. Storozhenko—11139862
LAug 18 · 03:00D. Maltsev—71161152O. Storozhenko—119117113
WAug 15 · 03:00D. Maltsev—1112113O. Storozhenko—71080
D. Maltsev10
LSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67411971I. Fashchevskyi2.1011811113WSep 7 · 21:45D. Maltsev1.80812812113M. Potapov1.911110111092LSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev1.83114134172I. Pytsko1.839111111193WSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113WSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 5 · 22:00M. Khomenko1.361111113113D. Maltsev3.0013881162LSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.918111091O. Budnikov1.8011712113LSep 4 · 16:25D. Maltsev1.831012129152Y. Tebenko1.8312101011173
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 7 · 23:45O. Storozhenko1.5081151182M. Potapov2.50114114113WSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko1.9171111592O. Storozhenko1.80113711113WSep 7 · 21:15O. Storozhenko1.57811811113I. Fashchevskyi2.2511711972WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113LSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972WSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113LSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113LSep 4 · 17:25M. Potapov2.5013115113O. Storozhenko1.501191151
Upcoming Matches
D. Maltsev
O. Storozhenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.