TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088740
Played Sep 8Finished
Mykhailo Potapov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811811––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:08 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Potapov above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Potapov 45–52 Ivan Pytsko Mykhailo Potapov has won 45 of their 97 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-52 in 97
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 7 in 97, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Potapov 1541 vs Pytsko 1554
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Potapov 80% vs Pytsko 60%
Potapov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Potapov 60% vs Pytsko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Potapov +1 · Pytsko +3
Pytsko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Potapov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPotapov 2.10 / Pytsko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pytsko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088740
Potapov2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 46 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Pytsko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite47% won 46 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it69% 36 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePotapov3wins
AwayPytsko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePotapov75%3 of 4
AwayPytsko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Potapov4Pytsko6n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S2Potapov1Pytsko9n = 10Pytsko took 9 of 10
S3Potapov6Pytsko4n = 10Potapov took 6 of 10
S4Potapov0Pytsko7n = 7Pytsko took 7 of 7
S5Potapov3Pytsko1n = 4Potapov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPotapovPytskoPotapov − PytskoBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.742.7−6.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPotapovPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 422 vs 332 / 59447.2%55.9%199 / 422 vs 332 / 594Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPotapov 2.10/Pytsko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 01:45M. Potapov—6880I. Pytsko—1111113
LSep 4 · 18:55M. Potapov—541151I. Pytsko—11119113
WSep 2 · 08:35M. Potapov—116125113I. Pytsko—911101192
LSep 1 · 16:35M. Potapov—13111161I. Pytsko—15138113
WAug 31 · 21:00M. Potapov—117115113I. Pytsko—81181182
LAug 22 · 14:55M. Potapov—8870I. Pytsko—1111113
LAug 22 · 24:15M. Potapov—711681I. Pytsko—11811113
LAug 14 · 20:15M. Potapov—119119122I. Pytsko—711711143
WJul 25 · 06:25M. Potapov—11111212113I. Pytsko—913101462
LJul 24 · 16:25M. Potapov—9880I. Pytsko—1111113
M. Potapov10
LSep 8 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi2.001111113M. Potapov1.735890WSep 7 · 23:45O. Storozhenko1.5081151182M. Potapov2.50114114113LSep 7 · 21:45D. Maltsev1.80812812113M. Potapov1.911110111092WSep 7 · 20:45V. Korobko4.3371141352M. Potapov1.201171111113WSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970WSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050LSep 5 · 23:00M. Potapov3.407790M. Khomenko1.301111113LSep 5 · 21:30M. Potapov2.25511561O. Storozhenko1.5711711113WSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151
I. Pytsko10
LSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko1.6111114113I. Pytsko2.20381151WSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133WSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91611116102I. Pytsko1.80119611123WSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev1.83114134172I. Pytsko1.839111111193LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 17:25M. Slozka1.831111113I. Pytsko1.838770WSep 5 · 15:55O. Hudyma2.2591171342I. Pytsko1.57113111183WSep 5 · 13:55I. Kvak2.3811114842I. Pytsko1.53761111113WSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113WSep 4 · 18:55I. Pytsko1.6711119113M. Potapov2.10541151
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