TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12146540
Played Jul 3Finished
Dmytro Palii
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
111117811511––
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 1-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 65 set 4, 5-11
65 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Palii 2–1 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalii 2.00 / Storozhenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Storozhenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12146540
Palii2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back43% 9 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Storozhenko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 87 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it69% 57 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePalii2wins
AwayStorozhenko1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPalii leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palii1Storozhenko2n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
S2Palii2Storozhenko1n = 3Palii took 2 of 3
S3Palii2Storozhenko1n = 3Palii took 2 of 3
S4Palii1Storozhenko2n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPaliiStorozhenkoP − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.342.3−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaliiStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 165 vs 148 / 28659.4%51.8%98 / 165 vs 148 / 286Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoPalii 2.00/Storozhenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJun 30 · 06:25D. Palii—21311113O. Storozhenko—1111861
WJun 29 · 17:25D. Palii—1112116123O. Storozhenko—1310811102
LJun 12 · 18:55D. Palii—115671O. Storozhenko—61111113
D. Palii10
LSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131LSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LJul 4 · 10:25S. Prus2.101111113D. Palii1.675830LJul 4 · 09:25D. Palii2.25911451I. Pytsko1.5711911113LJul 4 · 08:25D. Palii2.0011215882O. Storozhenko1.736111311113WJul 4 · 06:55D. Palii2.1011911113O. Alieksieev1.67811991LJul 4 · 04:55D. Palii2.006780I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113WJul 3 · 16:55I. Fashchevskyi1.7312851172D. Palii2.001011117113WJul 3 · 14:55S. Prus2.006111051D. Palii1.7311112113WJul 3 · 13:55D. Palii1.801110119113M. Potapov1.9181271152
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 9 · 11:35I. Pytsko2.25121011123O. Storozhenko1.5710126101WSep 9 · 10:05O. Storozhenko1.6712611113I. Fashchevskyi2.101011481LSep 9 · 08:05Y. Tebenko2.001111113O. Storozhenko1.738980LSep 9 · 06:05D. Maltsev2.10135411113O. Storozhenko1.67111111972LSep 9 · 05:05M. Potapov2.5081111113O. Storozhenko1.50118961WSep 8 · 19:05D. Maltsev2.007750O. Storozhenko1.731111113WSep 8 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.571111711113I. Pytsko2.2588111382LSep 8 · 15:35Y. Tebenko2.1081111113O. Storozhenko1.67117991LSep 8 · 13:35V. Moshovskyi2.10121011123O. Storozhenko1.6710126101WJul 4 · 08:25D. Palii2.0011215882O. Storozhenko1.736111311113
Upcoming Matches
D. Palii
Sep 10 · 23:45D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—Sep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.50T. Gil1.50—Sep 11 · 03:15D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 11 · 16:55D. Palii1.83M. Slozka1.83—Sep 11 · 17:55D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—
O. Storozhenko
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