TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100711
Played Sep 9Finished
Denys Maltsev
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311511411119117
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 57.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 29–25 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 25 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Storozhenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-25 in 54
Maltsev
Correct
gap of 4 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1478 vs Storozhenko 1592
Storozhenko
Wrong
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 20% vs Storozhenko 40%
Storozhenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 40% vs Storozhenko 60%
Storozhenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev +1 · Storozhenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Storozhenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Storozhenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 2.10 / Storozhenko 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Storozhenko)+1.8pp
Setka Cup · #13100711
Maltsev2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 93 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 44
Storozhenko1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 160 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it87% 58 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it69% 102 of 149
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev2wins
AwayStorozhenko8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev25%1 of 4
AwayStorozhenko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S2Maltsev4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S3Maltsev2Storozhenko8n = 10Storozhenko took 8 of 10
S4Maltsev3Storozhenko6n = 9Storozhenko took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevStorozhenkoM − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.740.9−7.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime452 / 887 vs 250 / 48151%52%452 / 887 vs 250 / 481Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoMaltsev 2.10/Storozhenko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.6%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 06:05D. Maltsev—135411113O. Storozhenko—111111972
LSep 8 · 19:05D. Maltsev—7750O. Storozhenko—1111113
LSep 8 · 24:45D. Maltsev—711911112O. Storozhenko—117114133
WSep 6 · 01:30D. Maltsev—41111113O. Storozhenko—116971
LSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev—1231181O. Storozhenko—101113113
LAug 31 · 11:35D. Maltsev—561161O. Storozhenko—11119113
LAug 29 · 22:00D. Maltsev—119441O. Storozhenko—91111113
LAug 29 · 01:45D. Maltsev—6111251O. Storozhenko—11114113
LAug 26 · 10:05D. Maltsev—711961O. Storozhenko—11811113
LAug 25 · 12:05D. Maltsev—116681O. Storozhenko—81111113
D. Maltsev10
WSep 9 · 04:35D. Maltsev1.80671114113I. Fashchevskyi1.91111151212LSep 8 · 19:05D. Maltsev2.007750O. Storozhenko1.731111113LSep 8 · 17:05M. Potapov1.831111113D. Maltsev1.837770LSep 8 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi1.7311111010113D. Maltsev2.0068121282LSep 8 · 14:05D. Maltsev2.204111281I. Pytsko1.6111514113WSep 8 · 13:05Y. Tebenko1.7341151292D. Maltsev2.001151110113WSep 8 · 02:15D. Maltsev1.25119411113V. Korobko3.7541111862LSep 8 · 24:45D. Maltsev1.83711911112O. Storozhenko1.83117114133LSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67411971I. Fashchevskyi2.1011811113WSep 7 · 21:45D. Maltsev1.80812812113M. Potapov1.911110111092
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 9 · 05:05M. Potapov2.5081111113O. Storozhenko1.50118961WSep 8 · 19:05D. Maltsev2.007750O. Storozhenko1.731111113WSep 8 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.571111711113I. Pytsko2.2588111382LSep 8 · 15:35Y. Tebenko2.1081111113O. Storozhenko1.67117991LSep 8 · 13:35V. Moshovskyi2.10121011123O. Storozhenko1.6710126101WSep 8 · 12:35M. Potapov2.25411571O. Storozhenko1.5711611113WSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko1.6111114113I. Pytsko2.20381151WSep 8 · 24:45D. Maltsev1.83711911112O. Storozhenko1.83117114133LSep 7 · 23:45O. Storozhenko1.5081151182M. Potapov2.50114114113WSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko1.9171111592O. Storozhenko1.80113711113
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