TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094680
Played Sep 8Finished
Denys Maltsev
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711511––––
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Maltsev to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 52 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Denys Maltsev at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 28–24 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 24 of their 52 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:46What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Storozhenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-24 in 52
Maltsev
Wrong
gap of 4 in 52, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1479 vs Storozhenko 1594
Storozhenko
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 40% vs Storozhenko 60%
Storozhenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 40% vs Storozhenko 70%
Storozhenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev -3 · Storozhenko +1
Maltsev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Storozhenko) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 2.00 / Storozhenko 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Storozhenko)+1.8pp
Setka Cup · #13094680
Maltsev2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 92 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back21% 18 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 41
Storozhenko1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 157 of 284
Up 2–0, closes it86% 56 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it68% 99 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev2wins
AwayStorozhenko8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev0%0 of 3
AwayStorozhenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev3Storozhenko7n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10
S2Maltsev5Storozhenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Maltsev3Storozhenko7n = 10Storozhenko took 7 of 10
S4Maltsev4Storozhenko6n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S5Maltsev1Storozhenko2n = 3Storozhenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevStorozhenkoM − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.642.3−5.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime450 / 884 vs 249 / 47850.9%52.1%450 / 884 vs 249 / 478Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoMaltsev 2.00/Storozhenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 24:45D. Maltsev—711911112O. Storozhenko—117114133
WSep 6 · 01:30D. Maltsev—41111113O. Storozhenko—116971
LSep 4 · 11:55D. Maltsev—1231181O. Storozhenko—101113113
LAug 31 · 11:35D. Maltsev—561161O. Storozhenko—11119113
LAug 29 · 22:00D. Maltsev—119441O. Storozhenko—91111113
LAug 29 · 01:45D. Maltsev—6111251O. Storozhenko—11114113
LAug 26 · 10:05D. Maltsev—711961O. Storozhenko—11811113
LAug 25 · 12:05D. Maltsev—116681O. Storozhenko—81111113
WAug 21 · 01:45D. Maltsev—8111111113O. Storozhenko—11139862
LAug 18 · 03:00D. Maltsev—71161152O. Storozhenko—119117113
D. Maltsev10
LSep 8 · 17:05M. Potapov1.831111113D. Maltsev1.837770LSep 8 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi1.7311111010113D. Maltsev2.0068121282LSep 8 · 14:05D. Maltsev2.204111281I. Pytsko1.6111514113WSep 8 · 13:05Y. Tebenko1.7341151292D. Maltsev2.001151110113WSep 8 · 02:15D. Maltsev1.25119411113V. Korobko3.7541111862LSep 8 · 24:45D. Maltsev1.83711911112O. Storozhenko1.83117114133LSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67411971I. Fashchevskyi2.1011811113WSep 7 · 21:45D. Maltsev1.80812812113M. Potapov1.911110111092LSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev1.83114134172I. Pytsko1.839111111193WSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 8 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.571111711113I. Pytsko2.2588111382LSep 8 · 15:35Y. Tebenko2.1081111113O. Storozhenko1.67117991LSep 8 · 13:35V. Moshovskyi2.10121011123O. Storozhenko1.6710126101WSep 8 · 12:35M. Potapov2.25411571O. Storozhenko1.5711611113WSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko1.6111114113I. Pytsko2.20381151WSep 8 · 24:45D. Maltsev1.83711911112O. Storozhenko1.83117114133LSep 7 · 23:45O. Storozhenko1.5081151182M. Potapov2.50114114113WSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko1.9171111592O. Storozhenko1.80113711113WSep 7 · 21:15O. Storozhenko1.57811811113I. Fashchevskyi2.2511711972WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113
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