TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094616
Played Sep 8Finished
Oleksandr Storozhenko
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181187111113118
Ivan Pytsko
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Storozhenko to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Storozhenko above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Storozhenko at 55.9%
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Storozhenko 7–4 Ivan Pytsko Ivan Pytsko has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Storozhenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-4 in 11
Storozhenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Storozhenko 1585 vs Pytsko 1542
Storozhenko
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Storozhenko 60% vs Pytsko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Storozhenko 60% vs Pytsko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Storozhenko -2 · Pytsko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Storozhenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStorozhenko 1.57 / Pytsko 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Storozhenko)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13094616
Storozhenko1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 157 of 284
Up 2–0, closes it86% 56 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it68% 99 of 145
Pytsko2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 25 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back30% 10 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStorozhenko7wins
AwayPytsko3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderStorozhenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStorozhenko77.8%7 of 9
AwayPytskon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Storozhenko9Pytsko1n = 10Storozhenko took 9 of 10
S2Storozhenko5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S3Storozhenko6Pytsko4n = 10Storozhenko took 6 of 10
S4Storozhenko4Pytsko2n = 6Storozhenko took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStorozhenkoPytskoS − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.832.1+5.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStorozhenkoPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 477 vs 334 / 59852%55.9%248 / 477 vs 334 / 598Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StorozhenkoStorozhenko 1.57/Pytsko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.1%
Storozhenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko—11114113I. Pytsko—381151
LSep 4 · 13:55O. Storozhenko—9711131I. Pytsko—11117153
WAug 5 · 06:35O. Storozhenko—1111113I. Pytsko—8860
WAug 2 · 23:30O. Storozhenko—128812113I. Pytsko—1011111092
LJul 23 · 21:45O. Storozhenko—1358101I. Pytsko—111111123
WJul 18 · 01:45O. Storozhenko—1111113I. Pytsko—5840
LJul 11 · 01:15O. Storozhenko—11961182I. Pytsko—611112113
WJul 9 · 22:15O. Storozhenko—1111113I. Pytsko—5680
WJul 8 · 18:25O. Storozhenko—1111113I. Pytsko—7890
WJul 4 · 06:25O. Storozhenko—11312113I. Pytsko—7111031
O. Storozhenko10
LSep 8 · 15:35Y. Tebenko2.1081111113O. Storozhenko1.67117991LSep 8 · 13:35V. Moshovskyi2.10121011123O. Storozhenko1.6710126101WSep 8 · 12:35M. Potapov2.25411571O. Storozhenko1.5711611113WSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko1.6111114113I. Pytsko2.20381151WSep 8 · 24:45D. Maltsev1.83711911112O. Storozhenko1.83117114133LSep 7 · 23:45O. Storozhenko1.5081151182M. Potapov2.50114114113WSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko1.9171111592O. Storozhenko1.80113711113WSep 7 · 21:15O. Storozhenko1.57811811113I. Fashchevskyi2.2511711972WSep 6 · 03:00M. Khomenko1.408470O. Storozhenko2.751111113LSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113
I. Pytsko10
LSep 8 · 18:35Y. Tebenko2.001111163I. Pytsko1.7378140LSep 8 · 16:05M. Potapov2.10115711113I. Pytsko1.6781111772WSep 8 · 14:05D. Maltsev2.204111281I. Pytsko1.6111514113WSep 8 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi2.25111110992I. Pytsko1.57891211113LSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko1.6111114113I. Pytsko2.20381151WSep 8 · 01:45M. Potapov2.106880I. Pytsko1.671111113WSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133WSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91611116102I. Pytsko1.80119611123WSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev1.83114134172I. Pytsko1.839111111193LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101
Upcoming Matches
O. Storozhenko
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I. Pytsko
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