TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094627
Played Sep 8Finished
Yaroslav Tebenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171181614––––
Ivan Pytsko
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYaroslav Tebenko above · Ivan Pytsko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 16-14
Point 67 set 3, 16-14 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 54.1%
67 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Tebenko 54–74 Ivan Pytsko Yaroslav Tebenko has won 54 of their 128 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pytsko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-74 in 128
Pytsko
Wrong
gap of 20 in 128, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tebenko 1588 vs Pytsko 1533
Tebenko
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tebenko 40% vs Pytsko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tebenko 30% vs Pytsko 60%
Pytsko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tebenko +2 · Pytsko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTebenko 2.00 / Pytsko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pytsko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13094627
Tebenko2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog48% won 127 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back31% 44 of 143
Down 0–2, comes back13% 10 of 78
Pytsko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 49 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTebenko8wins
AwayPytsko2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTebenko leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTebenko100%5 of 5
AwayPytsko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tebenko5Pytsko5n = 10split evenly
S2Tebenko7Pytsko3n = 10Tebenko took 7 of 10
S3Tebenko3Pytsko7n = 10Pytsko took 7 of 10
S4Tebenko6Pytsko1n = 7Tebenko took 6 of 7
S5Tebenko4Pytsko0n = 4Tebenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTebenkoPytskoT − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.034.6+6.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTebenkoPytskoBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 827 vs 334 / 59947.9%55.8%396 / 827 vs 334 / 599Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoTebenko 2.00/Pytsko 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tebenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 12:55Y. Tebenko—9111311113I. Pytsko—11915862
WSep 2 · 07:05Y. Tebenko—11117113I. Pytsko—831171
LAug 25 · 02:30Y. Tebenko—5850I. Pytsko—1111113
WAug 5 · 11:05Y. Tebenko—1211113I. Pytsko—10490
WJul 17 · 20:15Y. Tebenko—1111113I. Pytsko—5550
WJul 15 · 11:35Y. Tebenko—111011113I. Pytsko—712581
WJul 14 · 14:35Y. Tebenko—10111011113I. Pytsko—12312452
WJul 13 · 22:30Y. Tebenko—811911113I. Pytsko—11911432
WJul 10 · 02:45Y. Tebenko—1181013113I. Pytsko—811121192
LMar 4 · 08:05Y. Tebenko—811661I. Pytsko—1191193
Y. Tebenko10
WSep 8 · 16:35V. Moshovskyi1.5711411682Y. Tebenko2.25311211113WSep 8 · 15:35Y. Tebenko2.1081111113O. Storozhenko1.67117991LSep 8 · 14:35M. Potapov1.801311113Y. Tebenko1.9111720LSep 8 · 13:05Y. Tebenko1.7341151292D. Maltsev2.001151110113LSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113LSep 6 · 24:30M. Potapov1.831112113Y. Tebenko1.8361050WSep 5 · 23:30Y. Tebenko2.10116611113O. Storozhenko1.6741111972LSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472LSep 5 · 21:00Y. Tebenko2.501011781M. Khomenko1.5012911113LSep 4 · 18:25Y. Tebenko2.1031212672O. Storozhenko1.6711101011113
I. Pytsko10
LSep 8 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.571111711113I. Pytsko2.2588111382LSep 8 · 16:05M. Potapov2.10115711113I. Pytsko1.6781111772WSep 8 · 14:05D. Maltsev2.204111281I. Pytsko1.6111514113WSep 8 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi2.25111110992I. Pytsko1.57891211113LSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko1.6111114113I. Pytsko2.20381151WSep 8 · 01:45M. Potapov2.106880I. Pytsko1.671111113WSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133WSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91611116102I. Pytsko1.80119611123WSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev1.83114134172I. Pytsko1.839111111193LSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101
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