TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089390
Played Sep 8Finished
Denys Maltsev
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114911411118116
Volodymyr Korobko
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 77.0% is still 77.0%
Graded at full timeDenys Maltsev to win
77.0%
77.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDenys Maltsev above · Volodymyr Korobko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 86 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Denys Maltsev at 77.0%
86 points played in total.
H2H Denys Maltsev 19–12 Volodymyr Korobko Volodymyr Korobko has won 12 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Maltsev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-12 in 31
Maltsev
Correct
gap of 7 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maltsev 1488 vs Korobko 1470
Maltsev
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maltsev 40% vs Korobko 20%
Maltsev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maltsev 40% vs Korobko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maltsev -2 · Korobko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Maltsev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaltsev 1.25 / Korobko 3.75
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Maltsev)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089390
Maltsev1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 114 of 204
Up 2–0, closes it87% 75 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it75% 92 of 123
Korobko3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 39 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaltsev9wins
AwayKorobko1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMaltsev leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaltsev100%9 of 9
AwayKorobkon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maltsev9Korobko1n = 10Maltsev took 9 of 10
S2Maltsev9Korobko1n = 10Maltsev took 9 of 10
S3Maltsev8Korobko2n = 10Maltsev took 8 of 10
S4Maltsev0Korobko3n = 3Korobko took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaltsevKorobkoM − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match36.425.3+11.1per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaltsevKorobkoBasisWin rate · lifetime448 / 879 vs 216 / 47651%45.4%448 / 879 vs 216 / 476Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.934.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaltsevMaltsev 1.25/Korobko 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77%
Maltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Maltsev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 24:00D. Maltsev—1111113V. Korobko—2540
WAug 29 · 20:00D. Maltsev—1111113V. Korobko—5460
WAug 24 · 21:30D. Maltsev—1111113V. Korobko—4650
WAug 20 · 20:45D. Maltsev—1112114123V. Korobko—8101311102
LAug 17 · 21:30D. Maltsev—871151V. Korobko—11113113
WAug 4 · 01:00D. Maltsev—1311113V. Korobko—11570
WJul 20 · 20:30D. Maltsev—111396113V. Korobko—111111192
WJul 18 · 01:15D. Maltsev—1111113V. Korobko—8590
WJul 13 · 23:00D. Maltsev—1111113V. Korobko—4950
WJul 10 · 23:45D. Maltsev—1111113V. Korobko—4680
D. Maltsev10
LSep 8 · 24:45D. Maltsev1.83711911112O. Storozhenko1.83117114133LSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67411971I. Fashchevskyi2.1011811113WSep 7 · 21:45D. Maltsev1.80812812113M. Potapov1.911110111092LSep 7 · 20:15D. Maltsev1.83114134172I. Pytsko1.839111111193WSep 6 · 02:30Y. Tebenko1.838220D. Maltsev1.831111113WSep 6 · 01:30O. Storozhenko1.73116971D. Maltsev2.0041111113WSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113LSep 5 · 22:00M. Khomenko1.361111113113D. Maltsev3.0013881162LSep 5 · 20:00M. Potapov1.911111118113D. Maltsev1.8013971172LSep 4 · 17:55D. Maltsev1.918111091O. Budnikov1.8011712113
V. Korobko10
WSep 8 · 01:15V. Korobko1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007850LSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133LSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko1.9171111592O. Storozhenko1.80113711113LSep 7 · 20:45V. Korobko4.3371141352M. Potapov1.201171111113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.