TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088923
Played Sep 8Finished
Volodymyr Korobko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118115––––
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Korobko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Korobko above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 53 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Volodymyr Korobko at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Korobko 4–4 Ivan Fashchevskyi Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Korobko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Korobko 1457 vs Fashchevskyi 1438
Korobko
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korobko 0% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korobko 30% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korobko -5 · Fashchevskyi +1
Korobko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Korobko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korobko form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorobko 1.73 / Fashchevskyi 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Korobko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13088923
Korobko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite49% won 48 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it90% 27 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Fashchevskyi2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 89 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back28% 26 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKorobko4wins
AwayFashchevskyi4wins
4 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKorobko80%4 of 5
AwayFashchevskyi100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Korobko5Fashchevskyi3n = 8Korobko took 5 of 8
S2Korobko4Fashchevskyi4n = 8split evenly
S3Korobko2Fashchevskyi6n = 8Fashchevskyi took 6 of 8
S4Korobko6Fashchevskyi0n = 6Korobko took 6 of 6
S5Korobko1Fashchevskyi3n = 4Fashchevskyi took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKorobkoFashchevskyiK − FBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.036.6+3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorobkoFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 475 vs 280 / 55245.3%50.7%215 / 475 vs 280 / 552Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.638.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorobkoKorobko 1.73/Fashchevskyi 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Korobko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Korobko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 3 · 20:45V. Korobko—11117113I. Fashchevskyi—751181
LAug 29 · 21:30V. Korobko—81191162I. Fashchevskyi—118113113
LAug 24 · 23:00V. Korobko—51281192I. Fashchevskyi—1110114113
WAug 21 · 01:15V. Korobko—1112113I. Fashchevskyi—61060
LAug 2 · 02:45V. Korobko—5840I. Fashchevskyi—1111113
WJul 24 · 01:15V. Korobko—11911113I. Fashchevskyi—611671
LJun 5 · 02:15V. Korobko—11961192I. Fashchevskyi—511116113
WMar 9 · 22:30V. Korobko—119911113I. Fashchevskyi—71111582
V. Korobko10
LSep 8 · 02:15D. Maltsev1.25119411113V. Korobko3.7541111862LSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133LSep 7 · 22:45V. Korobko1.9171111592O. Storozhenko1.80113711113LSep 7 · 20:45V. Korobko4.3371141352M. Potapov1.201171111113LSep 6 · 02:00M. Potapov1.221111113V. Korobko4.005970LSep 6 · 01:00V. Korobko2.2061060M. Khomenko1.611112113LSep 6 · 24:00V. Korobko3.252540D. Maltsev1.331111113WSep 5 · 22:30V. Korobko1.831051111113Y. Tebenko1.8312117472WSep 5 · 20:30V. Korobko1.9111511173O. Storozhenko1.807114151WSep 4 · 02:15O. Storozhenko1.8011390V. Korobko1.911311113
I. Fashchevskyi10
WSep 8 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi2.001111113M. Potapov1.735890WSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67411971I. Fashchevskyi2.1011811113LSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91611116102I. Pytsko1.80119611123LSep 7 · 21:15O. Storozhenko1.57811811113I. Fashchevskyi2.2511711972LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113WSep 4 · 21:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73111011113O. Sydorchuk2.00412991LSep 4 · 03:15Y. Tebenko1.611114113I. Fashchevskyi2.2081220
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