Serhii Prus vs Dmytro Palii 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12146538

Played Jul 3Finished

Serhii Prus

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

6111111012511––

Dmytro Palii

Away

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Dmytro Palii below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-1

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 5-11

Point 67 set 4, 5-11

67 points played in total.

H2H Serhii Prus 7–8 Dmytro Palii Serhii Prus has won 7 of their 15 meetings.

Last 10 · 3–7Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Palii)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Palii form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsPrus 2.00 / Palii 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Palii)+0.3pp

Setka Cup · #12146538

Prus2.00

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog37% won 32 of 86

Down 0–1, comes back22% 12 of 54

Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36

Palii1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite53% won 16 of 30

Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9

Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomePrus3wins

AwayPalii7wins

2 of 10 to a deciderPalii leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomePrus66.7%2 of 3

AwayPalii85.7%6 of 7

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Prus3Palii7n = 10Palii took 7 of 10

S2Prus5Palii4n = 9Prus took 5 of 9

S3Prus5Palii4n = 9Prus took 5 of 9

S4Prus0Palii6n = 7Palii took 6 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away440%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricPrusPaliiPrus − PaliiBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.034.0−1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricPrusPaliiBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 536 vs 98 / 16652.4%59%281 / 536 vs 98 / 166Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Palii

Prus 2.00/Palii 1.73

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Palii · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Palii won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJul 3 · 14:55S. Prus—6111051D. Palii—11112113

LJun 30 · 04:25S. Prus—1111891D. Palii—51311113

WJun 29 · 11:55S. Prus—1111113D. Palii—7570

WJun 18 · 08:25S. Prus—911144113D. Palii—117121152

LJun 17 · 14:55S. Prus—10D. Palii—21

LFeb 21 · 14:25S. Prus—1171171D. Palii—1311593

LFeb 15 · 11:25S. Prus—1071161D. Palii—12115113

LFeb 8 · 09:25S. Prus—10960D. Palii—1211113

WFeb 7 · 15:55S. Prus—1211662D. Palii—1051161

LDec 28 · 05:25S. Prus—511126122D. Palii—1191011143

S. Prus10

WSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus2.10115138113I. Fashchevskyi1.67811111182 WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113 LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113 WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171 WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271 WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852 LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163 WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740 WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380 LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113

D. Palii10

LSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131 LSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181 LJul 4 · 10:25S. Prus2.101111113D. Palii1.675830 LJul 4 · 09:25D. Palii2.25911451I. Pytsko1.5711911113 LJul 4 · 08:25D. Palii2.0011215882O. Storozhenko1.736111311113 WJul 4 · 06:55D. Palii2.1011911113O. Alieksieev1.67811991 LJul 4 · 04:55D. Palii2.006780I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113 LJul 3 · 18:55D. Palii2.00111851O. Storozhenko1.7311711113 WJul 3 · 16:55I. Fashchevskyi1.7312851172D. Palii2.001011117113 WJul 3 · 13:55D. Palii1.801110119113M. Potapov1.9181271152

Upcoming Matches

S. Prus

Sep 10 · 22:45S. Prus1.73O. Sydorchuk2.00—Sep 10 · 23:45S. Prus1.83D. Palii1.83—Sep 11 · 24:45S. Prus2.38M. Slozka1.53—Sep 11 · 02:45S. Prus3.00T. Gil1.36—Sep 11 · 11:55S. Prus3.40D. Maltsev1.30—Sep 11 · 13:25S. Prus2.10I. Fashchevskyi1.67—Sep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.38M. Slozka1.53—Sep 11 · 16:25S. Prus1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 17:55S. Prus1.83D. Palii1.83—

D. Palii

Sep 10 · 23:45D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—Sep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.50T. Gil1.50—Sep 11 · 03:15D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.00I. Fashchevskyi1.73—Sep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.73D. Maltsev2.00—Sep 11 · 16:55D. Palii1.83M. Slozka1.83—Sep 11 · 17:55D. Palii1.83S. Prus1.83—

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