TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106620
Played Sep 10Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1185111311811118
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvan Fashchevskyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ivan Fashchevskyi at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 14–20 Ivan Fashchevskyi Serhii Prus has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:53What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-20 in 34
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
gap of 6 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prus 1489 vs Fashchevskyi 1416
Prus
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 80% vs Fashchevskyi 20%
Prus
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 60% vs Fashchevskyi 30%
Prus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus +1 · Fashchevskyi -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fashchevskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 2.10 / Fashchevskyi 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fashchevskyi)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13106620
Prus2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 40 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 38
Fashchevskyi1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 84 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it77% 57 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrus5wins
AwayFashchevskyi5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrus75%3 of 4
AwayFashchevskyi66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prus4Fashchevskyi6n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S2Prus3Fashchevskyi7n = 10Fashchevskyi took 7 of 10
S3Prus8Fashchevskyi2n = 10Prus took 8 of 10
S4Prus4Fashchevskyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Prus3Fashchevskyi3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrusFashchevskyiP − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.342.8−0.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 407 vs 282 / 56048.4%50.4%197 / 407 vs 282 / 560Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FashchevskyiPrus 2.10/Fashchevskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fashchevskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Prus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus—115138113I. Fashchevskyi—811111182
LSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus—11117952I. Fashchevskyi—971111113
WJul 17 · 24:15S. Prus—1111113I. Fashchevskyi—9840
WJul 15 · 11:55S. Prus—1381111113I. Fashchevskyi—15117672
LJul 8 · 14:55S. Prus—91111882I. Fashchevskyi—116711113
LJul 4 · 05:55S. Prus—136111232I. Fashchevskyi—1511710113
WJul 3 · 17:55S. Prus—1181612133I. Fashchevskyi—13111410112
LJun 30 · 08:55S. Prus—581171I. Fashchevskyi—11115113
LJun 29 · 16:25S. Prus—10470I. Fashchevskyi—1211113
WJun 27 · 08:55S. Prus—11811113I. Fashchevskyi—911841
S. Prus10
WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113WSep 6 · 08:25S. Prus1.4411119113R. Bihun2.63871171WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852LSep 5 · 17:55S. Prus2.0096140O. Hudyma1.731111163WSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740WSep 5 · 14:55S. Prus3.401111113I. Kvak1.306380LSep 5 · 13:25S. Prus2.25571151M. Slozka1.5711115113LSep 5 · 11:55S. Prus3.254111261I. Pytsko1.3311714113
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 9 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.671111123I. Fashchevskyi2.1064100LSep 9 · 10:05O. Storozhenko1.6712611113I. Fashchevskyi2.101011481WSep 9 · 08:35M. Potapov1.8381161172I. Fashchevskyi1.83115117113LSep 9 · 06:35I. Pytsko1.731211125133I. Fashchevskyi2.001471011112LSep 9 · 04:35D. Maltsev1.80671114113I. Fashchevskyi1.91111151212WSep 8 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi2.001111113M. Potapov1.735890LSep 8 · 01:15V. Korobko1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007850WSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67411971I. Fashchevskyi2.1011811113LSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91611116102I. Pytsko1.80119611123LSep 7 · 21:15O. Storozhenko1.57811811113I. Fashchevskyi2.2511711972
Upcoming Matches
S. Prus
Sep 10 · 22:45S. Prus1.73O. Sydorchuk2.00—Sep 10 · 23:45S. Prus1.83D. Palii1.83—Sep 11 · 24:45S. Prus2.38M. Slozka1.53—Sep 11 · 02:45S. Prus3.00T. Gil1.36—Sep 11 · 11:55S. Prus3.40D. Maltsev1.30—Sep 11 · 13:25S. Prus2.10I. Fashchevskyi1.67—Sep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.38M. Slozka1.53—Sep 11 · 16:25S. Prus1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 17:55S. Prus1.83D. Palii1.83—
I. Fashchevskyi
Sep 10 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.75T. Gil1.40—Sep 10 · 23:15I. Fashchevskyi2.00M. Slozka1.73—Sep 11 · 01:15I. Fashchevskyi1.67O. Sydorchuk2.10—Sep 11 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73D. Palii2.00—Sep 11 · 12:25I. Fashchevskyi1.73D. Palii2.00—Sep 11 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi1.67S. Prus2.10—Sep 11 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91D. Maltsev1.80—Sep 11 · 18:55I. Fashchevskyi2.00M. Slozka1.73—
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