TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100432
Played Sep 9Finished
Ivan Pytsko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121411712105111311
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:07 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 13-11
Point 106 set 5, 13-11 — our read held Ivan Pytsko at 57.3%
106 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 11–9 Ivan Fashchevskyi Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1501 vs Fashchevskyi 1433
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 20% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 50% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko -4 · Fashchevskyi -1
Pytsko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Pytsko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pytsko form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 1.73 / Fashchevskyi 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Pytsko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13100432
Pytsko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 51 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it71% 40 of 56
Fashchevskyi2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 88 of 188
Down 0–1, comes back27% 26 of 95
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko4wins
AwayFashchevskyi6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko50%3 of 6
AwayFashchevskyi75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko6Fashchevskyi4n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S2Pytsko4Fashchevskyi6n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S3Pytsko4Fashchevskyi6n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S4Pytsko4Fashchevskyi5n = 9Fashchevskyi took 5 of 9
S5Pytsko1Fashchevskyi2n = 3Fashchevskyi took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoFashchevskyiP − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.339.5+0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 596 vs 281 / 55555.4%50.6%330 / 596 vs 281 / 555Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPytsko 1.73/Fashchevskyi 2.00
Hit
What we said
57.3%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 22:15I. Pytsko—119611123I. Fashchevskyi—611116102
LSep 2 · 10:35I. Pytsko—11911862I. Fashchevskyi—711511113
LAug 24 · 22:00I. Pytsko—9580I. Fashchevskyi—1111113
LAug 2 · 21:00I. Pytsko—9127101I. Fashchevskyi—111011123
LJul 25 · 07:25I. Pytsko—119111092I. Fashchevskyi—811412113
LJul 24 · 15:25I. Pytsko—51110121I. Fashchevskyi—11812143
WJul 23 · 23:15I. Pytsko—11184113I. Fashchevskyi—5161191
WJul 14 · 18:05I. Pytsko—111111113I. Fashchevskyi—138671
LJul 8 · 12:55I. Pytsko—119591I. Fashchevskyi—21111113
WJul 4 · 11:25I. Pytsko—11611113I. Fashchevskyi—411491
I. Pytsko10
WSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev2.25411861I. Pytsko1.5711811113LSep 9 · 05:35Y. Tebenko2.001211113I. Pytsko1.7310450LSep 8 · 18:35Y. Tebenko2.001111163I. Pytsko1.7378140LSep 8 · 17:35O. Storozhenko1.571111711113I. Pytsko2.2588111382LSep 8 · 16:05M. Potapov2.10115711113I. Pytsko1.6781111772WSep 8 · 14:05D. Maltsev2.204111281I. Pytsko1.6111514113WSep 8 · 12:05V. Moshovskyi2.25111110992I. Pytsko1.57891211113LSep 8 · 02:45O. Storozhenko1.6111114113I. Pytsko2.20381151WSep 8 · 01:45M. Potapov2.106880I. Pytsko1.671111113WSep 8 · 24:15V. Korobko2.00991111112I. Pytsko1.73111175133
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 9 · 04:35D. Maltsev1.80671114113I. Fashchevskyi1.91111151212WSep 8 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi2.001111113M. Potapov1.735890LSep 8 · 01:15V. Korobko1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007850WSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67411971I. Fashchevskyi2.1011811113LSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91611116102I. Pytsko1.80119611123LSep 7 · 21:15O. Storozhenko1.57811811113I. Fashchevskyi2.2511711972LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 24:45S. Prus2.1011117952I. Fashchevskyi1.67971111113LSep 4 · 23:45I. Fashchevskyi1.9158110M. Slozka1.801111133WSep 4 · 22:45V. Kuzmych1.834930I. Fashchevskyi1.831111113
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