TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105745
Played Sep 11Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131171012115411
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Oleksandr Sydorchuk below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 95 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 62.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 4–1 Oleksandr Sydorchuk Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:24What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Slozka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1611 vs Sydorchuk 1444
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Sydorchuk 60%
Slozka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 80% vs Sydorchuk 50%
Slozka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +4 · Sydorchuk +1
Slozka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.44 / Sydorchuk 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Slozka)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105745
Slozka1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 67 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it82% 37 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it76% 55 of 72
Sydorchuk2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 34 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSlozka4wins
AwaySydorchuk1wins
Slozka leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka100%3 of 3
AwaySydorchukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka3Sydorchuk2n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
S2Slozka5Sydorchuk0n = 5Slozka took 5 of 5
S3Slozka3Sydorchuk2n = 5Slozka took 3 of 5
S4Slozka2Sydorchuk1n = 3Slozka took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSlozkaSydorchukSlozka − SydorchukBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match35.426.6+8.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaSydorchukBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 762 vs 159 / 30044.6%53%340 / 762 vs 159 / 300Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.44/Sydorchuk 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.5%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka—101111113O. Sydorchuk—125761
WSep 5 · 03:15M. Slozka—11114113O. Sydorchuk—621141
WAug 1 · 01:15M. Slozka—1111113O. Sydorchuk—7680
WMar 1 · 07:25M. Slozka—1111113O. Sydorchuk—8460
LFeb 7 · 16:25M. Slozka—5113121O. Sydorchuk—11511143
M. Slozka10
WSep 11 · 24:45M. Slozka1.5091111113S. Prus2.50111381WSep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka1.73134119113I. Fashchevskyi2.00111151142WSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131WSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761WSep 6 · 04:25M. Slozka1.401111113R. Bihun2.754970LSep 5 · 18:55I. Kvak1.831111113M. Slozka1.835360
O. Sydorchuk10
WSep 11 · 01:15O. Sydorchuk2.101615117113I. Fashchevskyi1.67141761192LSep 11 · 24:15O. Sydorchuk2.639030T. Gil1.441111113WSep 10 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk2.00101111123S. Prus1.731299101WSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101
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