TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105781
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911011311––––
Taras Gil
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:37 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 0-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 45 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Taras Gil at 62.0%
45 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 2–5 Taras Gil Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:37What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Gil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Gil
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1447 vs Gil 1503
Gil
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 60% vs Gil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Gil 60%
Gil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk +2 · Gil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Gil) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sydorchuk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.63 / Gil 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 69%
Edge (Gil)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105781
Sydorchuk2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 34 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Gil1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 36 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it76% 28 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSydorchuk2wins
AwayGil5wins
2 of 7 to a deciderGil leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGil66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk1Gil6n = 7Gil took 6 of 7
S2Sydorchuk4Gil3n = 7Sydorchuk took 4 of 7
S3Sydorchuk2Gil5n = 7Gil took 5 of 7
S4Sydorchuk3Gil3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricSydorchukGilS − GBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match35.640.3−4.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukGilBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 298 vs 121 / 21353%56.8%158 / 298 vs 121 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilSydorchuk 2.63/Gil 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 6 · 11:25O. Sydorchuk—6690T. Gil—1111113
LSep 4 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk—910111142T. Gil—111247113
WJul 18 · 12:55O. Sydorchuk—911511113T. Gil—11911882
LJun 7 · 04:55O. Sydorchuk—711591T. Gil—11811113
LMay 3 · 07:55O. Sydorchuk—1341061T. Gil—111112113
WApr 19 · 08:55O. Sydorchuk—61111113T. Gil—113981
LJan 1 · 17:55O. Sydorchuk—411981T. Gil—11711113
O. Sydorchuk10
WSep 10 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk2.00101111123S. Prus1.731299101WSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740LSep 5 · 15:25O. Sydorchuk2.25116131M. Slozka1.571311122
T. Gil10
WSep 10 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.7589121192T. Gil1.401111108113LSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950WSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:45M. Slozka2.255111561T. Gil1.5711917113WSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.