TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105750
Played Sep 10Finished
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8119111210118911
Taras Gil
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:26 and never touched — 69.5% is still 69.5%
Graded at full timeTaras Gil to win
69.5%
69.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Fashchevskyi above · Taras Gil below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 100 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Taras Gil at 69.5%
100 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Fashchevskyi 6–9 Taras Gil Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:26What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Gil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-9 in 15
Gil
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fashchevskyi 1416 vs Gil 1487
Gil
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fashchevskyi 20% vs Gil 40%
Gil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fashchevskyi 30% vs Gil 60%
Gil
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fashchevskyi -3 · Gil -1
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Gil) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gil form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFashchevskyi 2.75 / Gil 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 68%
Edge (Gil)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13105750
Fashchevskyi2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 89 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back27% 26 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 46
Gil1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 36 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it76% 28 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFashchevskyi3wins
AwayGil7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGil leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFashchevskyi75%3 of 4
AwayGil100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fashchevskyi4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S2Fashchevskyi1Gil9n = 10Gil took 9 of 10
S3Fashchevskyi4Gil6n = 10Gil took 6 of 10
S4Fashchevskyi2Gil3n = 5Gil took 3 of 5
S5Fashchevskyi2Gil2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricFashchevskyiGilF − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.936.7−3.8per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFashchevskyiGilBasisWin rate · lifetime282 / 560 vs 120 / 21250.4%56.6%282 / 560 vs 120 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GilFashchevskyi 2.75/Gil 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Gil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi—3860T. Gil—1111113
LAug 9 · 08:55I. Fashchevskyi—82110T. Gil—1111133
LJul 15 · 18:25I. Fashchevskyi—11611792T. Gil—911611113
WJun 6 · 14:25I. Fashchevskyi—11413113T. Gil—3111131
LMay 3 · 04:55I. Fashchevskyi—9580T. Gil—1111113
LApr 19 · 07:25I. Fashchevskyi—66110T. Gil—1111133
WJan 31 · 15:55I. Fashchevskyi—119119113T. Gil—91131152
LJan 18 · 06:25I. Fashchevskyi—11920T. Gil—1311113
LJan 17 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi—61111992T. Gil—114511103
WJan 10 · 08:55I. Fashchevskyi—116611103T. Gil—41111862
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus2.10115138113I. Fashchevskyi1.67811111182LSep 9 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.671111123I. Fashchevskyi2.1064100LSep 9 · 10:05O. Storozhenko1.6712611113I. Fashchevskyi2.101011481WSep 9 · 08:35M. Potapov1.8381161172I. Fashchevskyi1.83115117113LSep 9 · 06:35I. Pytsko1.731211125133I. Fashchevskyi2.001471011112LSep 9 · 04:35D. Maltsev1.80671114113I. Fashchevskyi1.91111151212WSep 8 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi2.001111113M. Potapov1.735890LSep 8 · 01:15V. Korobko1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007850WSep 7 · 23:15D. Maltsev1.67411971I. Fashchevskyi2.1011811113LSep 7 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi1.91611116102I. Pytsko1.80119611123
T. Gil10
LSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990WSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113LSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851LSep 6 · 06:25T. Gil1.28119111172R. Bihun3.50411138113LSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950WSep 5 · 02:45I. Fashchevskyi2.503860T. Gil1.501111113WSep 5 · 01:45M. Slozka2.255111561T. Gil1.5711917113WSep 5 · 24:15V. Kuzmych2.20711491T. Gil1.6111611113WSep 4 · 22:15O. Sydorchuk2.20910111142T. Gil1.61111247113
Upcoming Matches
I. Fashchevskyi
Sep 10 · 23:15I. Fashchevskyi2.00M. Slozka1.73—Sep 11 · 01:15I. Fashchevskyi1.67O. Sydorchuk2.10—Sep 11 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.73D. Palii2.00—Sep 11 · 12:25I. Fashchevskyi1.73D. Palii2.00—Sep 11 · 13:25I. Fashchevskyi1.73S. Prus2.00—Sep 11 · 15:25I. Fashchevskyi1.67V. Kuzmych2.10—Sep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91D. Maltsev1.80—Sep 11 · 18:55I. Fashchevskyi2.00M. Slozka1.73—
T. Gil
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.