TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105701
Played Sep 11Finished
Oleksandr Sydorchuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
16141517116711119
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:24 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeIvan Fashchevskyi to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Sydorchuk above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 117 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ivan Fashchevskyi at 57.4%
117 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Sydorchuk 6–16 Ivan Fashchevskyi Oleksandr Sydorchuk has won 6 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:24What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-16 in 22
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
gap of 10 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sydorchuk 1435 vs Fashchevskyi 1394
Sydorchuk
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sydorchuk 60% vs Fashchevskyi 0%
Sydorchuk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sydorchuk 40% vs Fashchevskyi 20%
Sydorchuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sydorchuk -1 · Fashchevskyi -5
Fashchevskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Fashchevskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSydorchuk 2.10 / Fashchevskyi 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Fashchevskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13105701
Sydorchuk2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 34 of 93
Down 0–1, comes back20% 11 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Fashchevskyi1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 84 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it77% 57 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSydorchuk2wins
AwayFashchevskyi8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFashchevskyi leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSydorchuk40%2 of 5
AwayFashchevskyi100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sydorchuk5Fashchevskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Sydorchuk5Fashchevskyi5n = 10split evenly
S3Sydorchuk4Fashchevskyi6n = 10Fashchevskyi took 6 of 10
S4Sydorchuk3Fashchevskyi6n = 9Fashchevskyi took 6 of 9
S5Sydorchuk0Fashchevskyi3n = 3Fashchevskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSydorchukFashchevskyiS − FBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.841.7−2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSydorchukFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 299 vs 282 / 56252.8%50.2%158 / 299 vs 282 / 562Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FashchevskyiSydorchuk 2.10/Fashchevskyi 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.4%
Fashchevskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sydorchuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 21:15O. Sydorchuk—412991I. Fashchevskyi—111011113
WAug 3 · 01:00O. Sydorchuk—11119113I. Fashchevskyi—961191
LJun 6 · 01:15O. Sydorchuk—10101341I. Fashchevskyi—121211113
WMay 22 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk—1211113I. Fashchevskyi—10850
LMay 20 · 08:55O. Sydorchuk—11611572I. Fashchevskyi—811411113
LMay 19 · 14:25O. Sydorchuk—1157101I. Fashchevskyi—91111123
LMay 16 · 24:45O. Sydorchuk—81181592I. Fashchevskyi—1161113113
LMay 9 · 16:25O. Sydorchuk—11471192I. Fashchevskyi—611116113
LMay 8 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk—9117131I. Fashchevskyi—11911153
LMay 3 · 06:55O. Sydorchuk—691191I. Fashchevskyi—11116113
O. Sydorchuk10
LSep 11 · 24:15O. Sydorchuk2.639030T. Gil1.441111113WSep 10 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk2.00101111123S. Prus1.731299101WSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LSep 6 · 11:25T. Gil1.611111113O. Sydorchuk2.206690WSep 6 · 09:55O. Sydorchuk1.53111110113R. Bihun2.38871271LSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761LSep 6 · 04:55S. Prus1.73117611113O. Sydorchuk2.0091111852WSep 5 · 18:25O. Sydorchuk2.3851111123I. Pytsko1.531197101LSep 5 · 16:25S. Prus2.001111113O. Sydorchuk1.736740
I. Fashchevskyi10
LSep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka1.73134119113I. Fashchevskyi2.00111151142LSep 10 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.7589121192T. Gil1.401111108113LSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus2.10115138113I. Fashchevskyi1.67811111182LSep 9 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.671111123I. Fashchevskyi2.1064100LSep 9 · 10:05O. Storozhenko1.6712611113I. Fashchevskyi2.101011481WSep 9 · 08:35M. Potapov1.8381161172I. Fashchevskyi1.83115117113LSep 9 · 06:35I. Pytsko1.731211125133I. Fashchevskyi2.001471011112LSep 9 · 04:35D. Maltsev1.80671114113I. Fashchevskyi1.91111151212WSep 8 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi2.001111113M. Potapov1.735890LSep 8 · 01:15V. Korobko1.731111113I. Fashchevskyi2.007850
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