TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111120
Played Sep 11Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210118––––
Denys Maltsev
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:24 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeDenys Maltsev to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Denys Maltsev at 63.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 16–35 Denys Maltsev Mykola Slozka has won 16 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:24What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Maltsev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-35 in 51
Maltsev
Wrong
gap of 19 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1601 vs Maltsev 1464
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Maltsev 40%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 80% vs Maltsev 30%
Slozka
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +1 · Maltsev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Maltsev) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 2.63 / Maltsev 1.44
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Maltsev)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13111120
Slozka2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 93 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Maltsev1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 117 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it86% 75 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it74% 93 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka3wins
AwayMaltsev7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMaltsev leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka75%3 of 4
AwayMaltsev100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka4Maltsev6n = 10Maltsev took 6 of 10
S2Slozka2Maltsev8n = 10Maltsev took 8 of 10
S3Slozka4Maltsev6n = 10Maltsev took 6 of 10
S4Slozka2Maltsev1n = 3Slozka took 2 of 3
S5Slozka1Maltsev2n = 3Maltsev took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaMaltsevS − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match29.634.6−5.0per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 764 vs 453 / 88244.6%51.4%341 / 764 vs 453 / 882Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaltsevSlozka 2.63/Maltsev 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Maltsev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 16:05M. Slozka—11881272D. Maltsev—8111110113
LJun 27 · 11:25M. Slozka—6670D. Maltsev—1111113
LJun 17 · 08:05M. Slozka—61070D. Maltsev—1112113
WJun 16 · 18:05M. Slozka—1211113D. Maltsev—10670
WJun 16 · 03:00M. Slozka—1311113D. Maltsev—11460
LJun 13 · 11:25M. Slozka—9690D. Maltsev—1111113
LJun 12 · 18:25M. Slozka—2430D. Maltsev—1111113
LJun 12 · 02:45M. Slozka—4970D. Maltsev—1111113
WJun 8 · 16:05M. Slozka—135115113D. Maltsev—111111162
LJun 5 · 02:45M. Slozka—66111172D. Maltsev—111157113
M. Slozka10
WSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych2.00111213562M. Slozka1.737141111113LSep 11 · 02:15M. Slozka1.441111101142O. Sydorchuk2.63137125113WSep 11 · 24:45M. Slozka1.5091111113S. Prus2.50111381WSep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka1.73134119113I. Fashchevskyi2.00111151142WSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131WSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:25M. Slozka2.25111111113T. Gil1.57713851WSep 6 · 05:55M. Slozka1.53101111113O. Sydorchuk2.38125761
D. Maltsev10
WSep 11 · 11:55S. Prus3.4011411882D. Maltsev1.30911811113LSep 9 · 10:35D. Maltsev1.8311152972M. Potapov1.838131111113LSep 9 · 09:05D. Maltsev1.91511871Y. Tebenko1.8011511113LSep 9 · 07:35D. Maltsev2.25411861I. Pytsko1.5711811113WSep 9 · 06:05D. Maltsev2.10135411113O. Storozhenko1.67111111972WSep 9 · 04:35D. Maltsev1.80671114113I. Fashchevskyi1.91111151212LSep 8 · 19:05D. Maltsev2.007750O. Storozhenko1.731111113LSep 8 · 17:05M. Potapov1.831111113D. Maltsev1.837770LSep 8 · 15:05V. Moshovskyi1.7311111010113D. Maltsev2.0068121282LSep 8 · 14:05D. Maltsev2.204111281I. Pytsko1.6111514113
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