TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117356
Played Sep 12Finished
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4119111816118116
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:13 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Kuzmych above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 18-16
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 105 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 56.9%
105 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Kuzmych 3–5 Mykola Slozka Volodymyr Kuzmych has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 22:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Slozka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmych 1412 vs Slozka 1618
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 206 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmych 40% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmych 40% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmych -2 · Slozka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmych 2.00 / Slozka 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Slozka)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13117356
Kuzmych2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 14 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back33% 6 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Slozka1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 74 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it83% 39 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKuzmych3wins
AwaySlozka5wins
6 of 8 to a deciderSlozka leads 5–3, and 6 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmych66.7%2 of 3
AwaySlozka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmych3Slozka5n = 8Slozka took 5 of 8
S2Kuzmych4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S3Kuzmych6Slozka2n = 8Kuzmych took 6 of 8
S4Kuzmych3Slozka4n = 7Slozka took 4 of 7
S5Kuzmych2Slozka4n = 6Slozka took 4 of 6
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away450%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKuzmychSlozkaK − SBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match44.545.1−0.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmychSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 81 vs 346 / 77043.2%44.9%35 / 81 vs 346 / 770Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaKuzmych 2.00/Slozka 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzmych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych—111213562M. Slozka—7141111113
LSep 6 · 08:55V. Kuzmych—97111842M. Slozka—1111816113
LSep 4 · 20:45V. Kuzmych—881181M. Slozka—11115113
WAug 29 · 04:25V. Kuzmych—7111111113M. Slozka—11813852
LAug 28 · 15:25V. Kuzmych—78111152M. Slozka—111188113
WNov 16 · 18:05V. Kuzmych—1116118113M. Slozka—514131172
WNov 2 · 13:35V. Kuzmych—1111133M. Slozka—74110
LOct 26 · 18:05V. Kuzmych—41111772M. Slozka—118511113
V. Kuzmych10
LSep 12 · 06:55S. Prus1.8311115113V. Kuzmych1.83781131LSep 12 · 05:25V. Kuzmych1.733320D. Maltsev2.001111113WSep 11 · 18:25V. Kuzmych2.00611114133D. Maltsev1.73117711112WSep 11 · 16:25S. Prus1.80129661V. Kuzmych1.91101111113LSep 11 · 15:25V. Kuzmych2.10148511102I. Fashchevskyi1.671211116123LSep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.6711119113V. Kuzmych2.10761161LSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych2.00111213562M. Slozka1.737141111113WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192
M. Slozka10
LSep 12 · 05:55D. Palii2.2581111113M. Slozka1.57114971WSep 12 · 04:55S. Prus2.63113114122M. Slozka1.44311711143WSep 11 · 18:55M. Slozka1.731171110113I. Fashchevskyi2.0091151292WSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii2.2541111652M. Slozka1.57118911113WSep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.637101181M. Slozka1.4411128113WSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080WSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych2.00111213562M. Slozka1.737141111113LSep 11 · 02:15M. Slozka1.441111101142O. Sydorchuk2.63137125113WSep 11 · 24:45M. Slozka1.5091111113S. Prus2.50111381WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842
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