TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111375
Played Sep 11Finished
Serhii Prus
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210911611611––
Volodymyr Kuzmych
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Prus to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Prus above · Volodymyr Kuzmych below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Serhii Prus at 58.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Prus 2–0 Volodymyr Kuzmych Volodymyr Kuzmych has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:14What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Prus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Prus 1409 vs Kuzmych 1410
Kuzmych
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prus 0% vs Kuzmych 20%
Kuzmych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prus 20% vs Kuzmych 40%
Kuzmych
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prus -5 · Kuzmych -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prus) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmych form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrus 1.80 / Kuzmych 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prus)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13111375
Prus1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Kuzmych1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 12 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePrus2wins
AwayKuzmych0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderPrus leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPrusKuzmychP − KBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match51.546.5+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrusKuzmychBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 414 vs 33 / 7947.6%41.8%197 / 414 vs 33 / 79Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.938.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrusPrus 1.80/Kuzmych 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Prus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus—111120113V. Kuzmych—882271
WSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus—117119123V. Kuzmych—811811102
S. Prus10
LSep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.637101181M. Slozka1.4411128113LSep 11 · 13:25S. Prus2.00561151I. Fashchevskyi1.7311114113LSep 11 · 11:55S. Prus3.4011411882D. Maltsev1.30911811113LSep 11 · 02:45S. Prus3.0011911652T. Gil1.36911611113LSep 11 · 24:45M. Slozka1.5091111113S. Prus2.50111381LSep 10 · 23:45S. Prus1.8385111162D. Palii1.83111197113LSep 10 · 22:45O. Sydorchuk2.00101111123S. Prus1.731299101WSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus2.10115138113I. Fashchevskyi1.67811111182WSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113LSep 6 · 09:25S. Prus2.636940T. Gil1.441111113
V. Kuzmych10
LSep 11 · 15:25V. Kuzmych2.10148511102I. Fashchevskyi1.671211116123LSep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.6711119113V. Kuzmych2.10761161LSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych2.00111213562M. Slozka1.737141111113WSep 6 · 10:55V. Kuzmych1.57761111113R. Bihun2.2511118532LSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842WSep 6 · 07:55V. Kuzmych1.531112117113O. Sydorchuk2.3821481192LSep 6 · 06:55S. Prus1.83111120113V. Kuzmych1.83882271WSep 6 · 05:25V. Kuzmych2.631111113T. Gil1.446950LSep 5 · 02:15S. Prus2.00117119123V. Kuzmych1.73811811102WSep 5 · 01:15V. Kuzmych1.911211113O. Sydorchuk1.8010890
Upcoming Matches
S. Prus
Nothing scheduled
V. Kuzmych
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