TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116571
Played Sep 12Finished
Dmytro Palii
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811114119117––
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 57.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Palii 3–6 Mykola Slozka Dmytro Palii has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:04What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Slozka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Slozka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Palii 1487 vs Slozka 1629
Slozka
Wrong
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palii 60% vs Slozka 100%
Slozka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palii 50% vs Slozka 90%
Slozka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Palii -1 · Slozka +5
Slozka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalii 2.25 / Slozka 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Slozka)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13116571
Palii2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 18 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Slozka1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 74 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it83% 39 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePalii3wins
AwaySlozka6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderSlozka leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePalii50%2 of 4
AwaySlozka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palii4Slozka5n = 9Slozka took 5 of 9
S2Palii5Slozka4n = 9Palii took 5 of 9
S3Palii5Slozka4n = 9Palii took 5 of 9
S4Palii3Slozka4n = 7Slozka took 4 of 7
S5Palii0Slozka3n = 3Slozka took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricPaliiSlozkaP − SBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match36.038.9−2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaliiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 182 vs 346 / 76957.1%45%104 / 182 vs 346 / 769Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaPalii 2.25/Slozka 1.57
Miss
What we said
60.1%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Palii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii—41111652M. Slozka—118911113
LSep 10 · 21:45D. Palii—681131M. Slozka—11119113
LJun 13 · 07:25D. Palii—9590M. Slozka—1111113
WJun 12 · 13:55D. Palii—81111113M. Slozka—114451
LJun 11 · 23:45D. Palii—11831172M. Slozka—911118113
WFeb 21 · 19:55D. Palii—11110113M. Slozka—481171
LFeb 15 · 07:55D. Palii—8151191M. Slozka—111313113
LFeb 14 · 19:55D. Palii—115119102M. Slozka—611811113
WFeb 7 · 19:55D. Palii—1111113M. Slozka—9980
D. Palii10
WSep 12 · 07:25D. Palii1.8351112113D. Maltsev1.831131041LSep 12 · 04:25D. Palii2.0011530T. Gil1.731311113WSep 11 · 17:55S. Prus2.0087120D. Palii1.731111143LSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii2.2541111652M. Slozka1.57118911113LSep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.7371141152D. Maltsev2.00118118113WSep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.6711119113V. Kuzmych2.10761161WSep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.10121265163I. Fashchevskyi1.6710101111142LSep 11 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113D. Palii2.007970WSep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.501111113T. Gil1.509850WSep 10 · 23:45S. Prus1.8385111162D. Palii1.83111197113
M. Slozka10
LSep 12 · 07:55V. Kuzmych2.00491811113M. Slozka1.73111116862WSep 12 · 04:55S. Prus2.63113114122M. Slozka1.44311711143WSep 11 · 18:55M. Slozka1.731171110113I. Fashchevskyi2.0091151292WSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii2.2541111652M. Slozka1.57118911113WSep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.637101181M. Slozka1.4411128113WSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080WSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych2.00111213562M. Slozka1.737141111113LSep 11 · 02:15M. Slozka1.441111101142O. Sydorchuk2.63137125113WSep 11 · 24:45M. Slozka1.5091111113S. Prus2.50111381WSep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka1.73134119113I. Fashchevskyi2.00111151142
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