TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111083
Played Sep 11Finished
Mykola Slozka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1197111151012119
Ivan Fashchevskyi
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:03 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMykola Slozka above · Ivan Fashchevskyi below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 56.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Mykola Slozka 17–10 Ivan Fashchevskyi Ivan Fashchevskyi has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-10 in 27
Slozka
Correct
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slozka 1609 vs Fashchevskyi 1441
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slozka 80% vs Fashchevskyi 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slozka 80% vs Fashchevskyi 40%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slozka +4 · Fashchevskyi +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Slozka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fashchevskyi form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlozka 1.73 / Fashchevskyi 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Slozka)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13111083
Slozka1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 70 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it77% 57 of 74
Fashchevskyi2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 87 of 193
Down 0–1, comes back26% 25 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlozka5wins
AwayFashchevskyi5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlozka60%3 of 5
AwayFashchevskyi60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slozka5Fashchevskyi5n = 10split evenly
S2Slozka6Fashchevskyi4n = 10Slozka took 6 of 10
S3Slozka7Fashchevskyi3n = 10Slozka took 7 of 10
S4Slozka4Fashchevskyi4n = 8split evenly
S5Slozka2Fashchevskyi4n = 6Fashchevskyi took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlozkaFashchevskyiS − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.040.5+2.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlozkaFashchevskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 767 vs 286 / 56844.9%50.4%344 / 767 vs 286 / 568Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaSlozka 1.73/Fashchevskyi 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka—134119113I. Fashchevskyi—111151142
WSep 4 · 23:45M. Slozka—1111133I. Fashchevskyi—58110
WSep 2 · 06:05M. Slozka—641111113I. Fashchevskyi—11113682
LAug 25 · 14:05M. Slozka—12111511102I. Fashchevskyi—142177123
LAug 9 · 07:25M. Slozka—11116992I. Fashchevskyi—791111113
LJun 27 · 07:55M. Slozka—891231I. Fashchevskyi—111110113
LJun 26 · 15:25M. Slozka—12115842I. Fashchevskyi—1081111113
WJun 26 · 02:45M. Slozka—71111143I. Fashchevskyi—1179121
WJun 13 · 05:25M. Slozka—1111133I. Fashchevskyi—64110
LJun 12 · 11:55M. Slozka—109111182I. Fashchevskyi—121192113
M. Slozka10
WSep 11 · 16:55D. Palii2.2541111652M. Slozka1.57118911113WSep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.637101181M. Slozka1.4411128113WSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080WSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych2.00111213562M. Slozka1.737141111113LSep 11 · 02:15M. Slozka1.441111101142O. Sydorchuk2.63137125113WSep 11 · 24:45M. Slozka1.5091111113S. Prus2.50111381WSep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka1.73134119113I. Fashchevskyi2.00111151142WSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131WSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113
I. Fashchevskyi10
WSep 11 · 17:25I. Fashchevskyi1.91111198113D. Maltsev1.8088111192WSep 11 · 15:25V. Kuzmych2.10148511102I. Fashchevskyi1.671211116123WSep 11 · 13:25S. Prus2.00561151I. Fashchevskyi1.7311114113LSep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.10121265163I. Fashchevskyi1.6710101111142WSep 11 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113D. Palii2.007970LSep 11 · 01:15O. Sydorchuk2.101615117113I. Fashchevskyi1.67141761192LSep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka1.73134119113I. Fashchevskyi2.00111151142LSep 10 · 22:15I. Fashchevskyi2.7589121192T. Gil1.401111108113LSep 10 · 21:15S. Prus2.10115138113I. Fashchevskyi1.67811111182LSep 9 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.671111123I. Fashchevskyi2.1064100
Upcoming Matches
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