TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111003
Played Sep 11Finished
Dmytro Palii
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411118119611511
Mykola Slozka
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMykola Slozka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Palii above · Mykola Slozka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 87 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Mykola Slozka at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Palii 3–5 Mykola Slozka Dmytro Palii has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:53What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Slozka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Slozka
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Palii 1484 vs Slozka 1617
Slozka
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Palii 60% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Palii 40% vs Slozka 80%
Slozka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Palii -1 · Slozka +3
Slozka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Slozka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slozka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPalii 2.25 / Slozka 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Slozka)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13111003
Palii2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 17 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Slozka1.57
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 70 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it83% 38 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it77% 57 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomePalii3wins
AwaySlozka5wins
2 of 8 to a deciderSlozka leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePalii50%2 of 4
AwaySlozka75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Palii4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S2Palii4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S3Palii4Slozka4n = 8split evenly
S4Palii3Slozka3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricPaliiSlozkaP − SBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match35.937.5−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaliiSlozkaBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 179 vs 343 / 76657.5%44.8%103 / 179 vs 343 / 766Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlozkaPalii 2.25/Slozka 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Slozka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Slozka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 10 · 21:45D. Palii—681131M. Slozka—11119113
LJun 13 · 07:25D. Palii—9590M. Slozka—1111113
WJun 12 · 13:55D. Palii—81111113M. Slozka—114451
LJun 11 · 23:45D. Palii—11831172M. Slozka—911118113
WFeb 21 · 19:55D. Palii—11110113M. Slozka—481171
LFeb 15 · 07:55D. Palii—8151191M. Slozka—111313113
LFeb 14 · 19:55D. Palii—115119102M. Slozka—611811113
WFeb 7 · 19:55D. Palii—1111113M. Slozka—9980
D. Palii10
LSep 11 · 15:55D. Palii1.7371141152D. Maltsev2.00118118113WSep 11 · 14:25D. Palii1.6711119113V. Kuzmych2.10761161WSep 11 · 12:25D. Palii2.10121265163I. Fashchevskyi1.6710101111142LSep 11 · 03:15I. Fashchevskyi1.731111113D. Palii2.007970WSep 11 · 01:45D. Palii2.501111113T. Gil1.509850WSep 10 · 23:45S. Prus1.8385111162D. Palii1.83111197113LSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131LSep 10 · 20:45O. Sydorchuk2.6311155113D. Palii1.448131181LJul 4 · 10:25S. Prus2.101111113D. Palii1.675830LJul 4 · 09:25D. Palii2.25911451I. Pytsko1.5711911113
M. Slozka10
WSep 11 · 14:55S. Prus2.637101181M. Slozka1.4411128113WSep 11 · 13:55M. Slozka2.631112113D. Maltsev1.4461080WSep 11 · 12:55V. Kuzmych2.00111213562M. Slozka1.737141111113LSep 11 · 02:15M. Slozka1.441111101142O. Sydorchuk2.63137125113WSep 11 · 24:45M. Slozka1.5091111113S. Prus2.50111381WSep 10 · 23:15M. Slozka1.73134119113I. Fashchevskyi2.00111151142WSep 10 · 21:45M. Slozka1.8311119113D. Palii1.83681131WSep 10 · 20:15M. Slozka2.201111113T. Gil1.619990LSep 6 · 10:25M. Slozka1.44814881S. Prus2.63111211113WSep 6 · 08:55M. Slozka1.731111816113V. Kuzmych2.0097111842
Upcoming Matches
D. Palii
Nothing scheduled
M. Slozka
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